World Cup 2022 Group Stage Draw Simulator
by John Holden - over 1,000,000 simulations to date - thank you for your visit |
EspaƱol |
Hrvatski Pot 1 & ranking points

Qatar 1442

Brazil 1832

Belgium 1827

France 1789

Argentina 1765

England 1761

Spain 1709

Portugal 1674
Pot 2 & ranking points

Mexico 1658

Netherlands 1658

Denmark 1653

Germany 1650

Uruguay 1635

Switzerland 1635

United States 1633

Croatia 1621
Pot 3 & ranking points

Senegal 1577

Iran 1564

Japan 1553

Morocco 1551

Serbia 1547

Poland 1544

Korea Rep. 1519

Tunisia 1501
Pot 4 & ranking points

Cameroon 1480

Canada 1479

Ecuador 1452

Saudi Arabia 1431

Ghana 1387

Peru 1570*

Costa Rica 1509*

Scotland 1495*
Group A
Qatar

Uruguay

Morocco

Scotland*Avg. Ranking 1531
Group B
Argentina

Germany

Poland

Costa Rica*Avg. Ranking 1617
Group C
England

United States

Serbia

Saudi ArabiaAvg. Ranking 1593
Group D
Brazil

Switzerland

Japan

CameroonAvg. Ranking 1625
Group E
France

Croatia

Senegal

CanadaAvg. Ranking 1616
Group F
Belgium

Netherlands

Tunisia

Peru*Avg. Ranking 1639
Group G
Spain

Denmark

Iran

GhanaAvg. Ranking 1578
Group H
Portugal

Mexico

Korea Rep.

EcuadorAvg. Ranking 1576
Preliminary AFC:

UAE def.

Australia
Intercontinental Playoffs

Peru def.

UAE

Costa Rica def.

New Zealand
This simulator displays what one 2022 World Cup draw might look like. It generates a new draw every time by simulating every remaining qualifying game (including updating the FIFA ranking for each team) and selected friendlies, sorts the teams into pots by FIFA ranking, and then creates a FIFA-compliant group draw. All known games are simulated and the FIFA rankings adjusted. Teams who will not be known at the time of the draw are marked with an asterisk (*). Play-off winners cannot be drawn into the same group as their opponent's confederation. Also note: this simulates what is possible, so while your sim may be highly unlikely (a team with <1% chance qualifying or a >99% not qualifying), it is not impossible; the sim does not like New Zealand due to their low ranking; and at the moment, groups will make sure the draw works properly (European team in each group) but do not appear to require a European team (to simplify coding, there is one scenario where a non-compliant draw may exist.) Last update: 29 March 2022 (after CONCACAF)
Simulate again!
My 2022 World Cup Simulated Draw:
A:
B:
C:
D:
E:
F:
G:
H:
Try for yourself http://stattosoftware.com/wc2022