World Cup 2022 Group Stage Draw Simulator
by John Holden - over 1,000,000 simulations to date - thank you for your visit |
EspaƱol |
Hrvatski Pot 1 & ranking points

Qatar 1442

Brazil 1832

Belgium 1827

France 1789

Argentina 1765

England 1761

Spain 1709

Portugal 1674
Pot 2 & ranking points

Mexico 1658

Netherlands 1658

Denmark 1653

Germany 1650

Uruguay 1635

Switzerland 1635

United States 1633

Croatia 1621
Pot 3 & ranking points

Senegal 1577

Iran 1564

Japan 1553

Morocco 1551

Serbia 1547

Poland 1544

Korea Rep. 1519

Tunisia 1501
Pot 4 & ranking points

Cameroon 1480

Canada 1479

Ecuador 1452

Saudi Arabia 1431

Ghana 1387

Wales 1598*

Costa Rica 1509*

Australia 1499*
Group A
Qatar

Mexico

Senegal

Wales*Avg. Ranking 1569
Group B
Argentina

Germany

Korea Rep.

GhanaAvg. Ranking 1580
Group C
England

Netherlands

Tunisia

EcuadorAvg. Ranking 1593
Group D
France

Switzerland

Japan

Costa Rica*Avg. Ranking 1621
Group E
Portugal

Croatia

Morocco

Australia*Avg. Ranking 1586
Group F
Belgium

Denmark

Iran

CameroonAvg. Ranking 1631
Group G
Brazil

United States

Poland

Saudi ArabiaAvg. Ranking 1610
Group H
Spain

Uruguay

Serbia

CanadaAvg. Ranking 1592
Preliminary AFC:

Australia def.

UAE
Intercontinental Playoffs

Australia def.

Peru

Costa Rica def.

New Zealand
This simulator displays what one 2022 World Cup draw might look like. It generates a new draw every time by simulating every remaining qualifying game (including updating the FIFA ranking for each team) and selected friendlies, sorts the teams into pots by FIFA ranking, and then creates a FIFA-compliant group draw. All known games are simulated and the FIFA rankings adjusted. Teams who will not be known at the time of the draw are marked with an asterisk (*). Play-off winners cannot be drawn into the same group as their opponent's confederation. Also note: this simulates what is possible, so while your sim may be highly unlikely (a team with <1% chance qualifying or a >99% not qualifying), it is not impossible; the sim does not like New Zealand due to their low ranking; and at the moment, groups will make sure the draw works properly (European team in each group) but do not appear to require a European team (to simplify coding, there is one scenario where a non-compliant draw may exist.) Last update: 29 March 2022 (after CONCACAF)
Simulate again!
My 2022 World Cup Simulated Draw:
A:
B:
C:
D:
E:
F:
G:
H:
Try for yourself http://stattosoftware.com/wc2022