World Cup 2022 Group Stage Draw Simulator
by John Holden - over 1,000,000 simulations to date - thank you for your visit |
EspaƱol |
Hrvatski Pot 1 & ranking points

Qatar 1442

Brazil 1832

Belgium 1827

France 1789

Argentina 1765

England 1761

Spain 1709

Portugal 1674
Pot 2 & ranking points

Mexico 1658

Netherlands 1658

Denmark 1653

Germany 1650

Uruguay 1635

Switzerland 1635

United States 1633

Croatia 1621
Pot 3 & ranking points

Senegal 1577

Iran 1564

Japan 1553

Morocco 1551

Serbia 1547

Poland 1544

Korea Rep. 1519

Tunisia 1501
Pot 4 & ranking points

Cameroon 1480

Canada 1479

Ecuador 1452

Saudi Arabia 1431

Ghana 1387

Ukraine 1559*

UAE 1389*

New Zealand 1217*
Group A
Qatar

Mexico

Tunisia

Ukraine*Avg. Ranking 1540
Group B
Belgium

United States

Serbia

EcuadorAvg. Ranking 1615
Group C
Portugal

Germany

Iran

New Zealand*Avg. Ranking 1526
Group D
Spain

Uruguay

Poland

CameroonAvg. Ranking 1592
Group E
England

Croatia

Senegal

UAE*Avg. Ranking 1587
Group F
France

Netherlands

Japan

GhanaAvg. Ranking 1597
Group G
Argentina

Switzerland

Korea Rep.

CanadaAvg. Ranking 1599
Group H
Brazil

Denmark

Morocco

Saudi ArabiaAvg. Ranking 1617
Preliminary AFC:

UAE def.

Australia
Intercontinental Playoffs

UAE def.

Peru

New Zealand def.

Costa Rica
This simulator displays what one 2022 World Cup draw might look like. It generates a new draw every time by simulating every remaining qualifying game (including updating the FIFA ranking for each team) and selected friendlies, sorts the teams into pots by FIFA ranking, and then creates a FIFA-compliant group draw. All known games are simulated and the FIFA rankings adjusted. Teams who will not be known at the time of the draw are marked with an asterisk (*). Play-off winners cannot be drawn into the same group as their opponent's confederation. Also note: this simulates what is possible, so while your sim may be highly unlikely (a team with <1% chance qualifying or a >99% not qualifying), it is not impossible; the sim does not like New Zealand due to their low ranking; and at the moment, groups will make sure the draw works properly (European team in each group) but do not appear to require a European team (to simplify coding, there is one scenario where a non-compliant draw may exist.) Last update: 29 March 2022 (after CONCACAF)
Simulate again!
My 2022 World Cup Simulated Draw:
A:
B:
C:
D:
E:
F:
G:
H:
Try for yourself http://stattosoftware.com/wc2022