64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points

Belgium 1855

Argentina 1848

France 1792

England 1791

Brazil 1771

Italy 1740

Spain 1717

Germany 1694

Colombia 1688

Portugal 1678

Denmark 1678

USA 1648

Netherlands 1645

Mexico 1643

Croatia 1642

Sweden 1623
Pot 2 & ranking points

Iran 1599

Switzerland 1596

Japan 1576

Senegal 1565

Poland 1559

Uruguay 1556

Ukraine 1553

Korea Rep. 1545

Tunisia 1541

Austria 1539

Serbia 1536

Morocco 1534

Algeria 1529

Chile 1522

Czech Republic 1506

Nigeria 1502
Pot 3 & ranking points

Ecuador 1500

Canada 1498

Hungary 1493

Scotland 1492

Egypt 1475

Finland 1473

Saudi Arabia 1466

Turkey 1463

Australia 1457

Qatar 1454

Mali 1451

Cameroon 1449

Rep. of Ireland 1445

Greece 1444

Côte d'Ivoire 1443

Costa Rica 1441
Pot 4 & ranking points

Ghana 1429

Panama 1421

Burkina Faso 1399

Jamaica 1388

Honduras 1387

China PR 1383

Congo DR 1373

Bolivia 1363

El Salvador 1344

UAE 1339

Syria 1310

Bahrain 1293

Lebanon 1245

Guinea-Bissau 1215

New Zealand 1211

Philippines 1174
Pot 1 & ranking points

Belgium 1844

Argentina 1837

England 1808

Brazil 1788

France 1782

Italy 1758

Spain 1726

Denmark 1700
Pot 2 & ranking points

Portugal 1698

Germany 1692

Colombia 1683

Netherlands 1668

USA 1659

Croatia 1641

Switzerland 1627

Sweden 1624
Pot 3 & ranking points

Senegal 1599

Serbia 1569

Poland 1553

Austria 1545

Korea Rep. 1544

Morocco 1542

Algeria 1530

Canada 1513
Pot 4 & ranking points

Hungary 1510

Czech Republic 1506

Ecuador 1502

Saudi Arabia 1492

Costa Rica 1459

Panama 1445

Jamaica 1423

Burkina Faso 1421

Spain def.

England

Colombia def.

Netherlands

USA def.

Italy

Germany def.

Ecuador

Croatia def.

Sweden

Argentina def.

Brazil

Portugal def.

Denmark

Belgium def.

France

Colombia def.

Spain

Germany def.

USA

Croatia def.

Argentina

Belgium def.

Portugal

Germany def.

Colombia

Belgium def.

Croatia

Belgium def.

Germany
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Italy 182 Greece 153 North Macedonia 144 Russia 85 Andorra 1
1 France 202 Hungary 163 Albania 134 Bulgaria 55 Kazakhstan 2
1 Denmark 212 Sweden 213 Slovenia 94 Georgia 75 Azerbaijan 1
1 Finland 202 Turkey 133 Luxembourg 104 Switzerland 105 Lithuania 4
1 Scotland 182 Netherlands 183 Iceland 184 Belarus 45 Gibraltar 1
1 Spain 202 Poland 183 Norway 104 Cyprus 75 San Marino 1
1 Germany 242 Rep. of Ireland 133 Wales 124 Armenia 75 Malta 2
1 Portugal 212 Ukraine 183 Northern Ireland 154 Latvia 45 Estonia 1
1 Croatia 212 Austria 193 Romania 134 Kosovo 25 Liechtenstein 2
1 Belgium 242 Czech Republic 123 Israel 114 Bosnia & Herzegovina 85 Faroe Islands 1
1 England 242 Serbia 133 Montenegro 124 Slovakia 65 Moldova 1
1 New Zealand 122 American Samoa 63 New Caledonia 44 Fiji 45 Tonga 3
1 Samoa 72 Solomon Islands 63 Vanuatu 64 Papua New Guinea 35 Tahiti 2
1 Argentina 502 Colombia 383 Brazil 324 Ecuador 275 Chile 216 Uruguay 217 Bolivia 208 Venezuela 169 Peru 1210 Paraguay 10
1 Mexico 372 El Salvador 283 Curaçao 274 Dominican Republic 195 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 186 Nicaragua 157 St. Lucia 108 US Virgin Isl. 7
1 USA 372 Jamaica 283 Guatemala 244 Barbados 195 Suriname 176 Cuba 157 Anguilla 148 Belize 8
1 Panama 352 Costa Rica 323 Haiti 204 Antigua & Barbuda 205 Grenada 156 Puerto Rico 127 Cayman Islands 128 Montserrat 11
1 Canada 392 Honduras 373 Trinidad & Tobago 234 Bermuda 175 St. Kitts and Nevis 156 Guyana 157 British Virgin Isl. 128 Dominica 2
1 Algeria 162 Gabon 93 Niger 64 Chad 4
1 Tunisia 182 Malawi 103 Eswatini 34 Madagascar 2
1 Cameroon 152 Cabo Verde 113 Namibia 54 Djibouti 2
1 Egypt 162 Angola 83 Mauritania 74 Comoros 2
1 Senegal 152 Libya 73 Uganda 64 Botswana 5
1 Mali 162 Liberia 73 Central African Republic 74 Zambia 3
1 Burkina Faso 132 Kenya 133 Sierra Leone 84 São Tomé & Príncipe 0
1 Morocco 152 Guinea 83 Sudan 64 Rwanda 4
1 Congo DR 112 Burundi 83 Equatorial Guinea 74 Benin 7
1 Guinea-Bissau 132 Ghana 123 Zimbabwe 64 Tanzania 4
1 Côte d'Ivoire 162 Congo 93 Ethiopia 54 Togo 4
1 Nigeria 162 South Africa 103 Mozambique 98 South Sudan 0
1 Saudi Arabia 262 Philippines 183 Vietnam 134 Guam 125 Iraq 116 Yemen 4
1 Korea Rep. 282 Bahrain 223 Oman 184 India 125 Maldives 76 Sri Lanka 0
1 China PR 252 Qatar 233 Kyrgyz Republic 174 Kuwait 105 Korea DPR 76 Nepal 4
1 Syria 222 Australia 193 Chinese Taipei 134 Tajikistan 135 Jordan 126 Afghanistan 3
1 Japan 302 Lebanon 183 Uzbekistan 164 Thailand 155 Hong Kong 86 Cambodia 1
1 Iran 302 UAE 183 Palestine 164 Turkmenistan 125 Myanmar 86 Macau 4
OFC Final

New Zealand def.

American Samoa
Intercontinental Playoffs

Switzerland def.

Curaçao

Oman def.

American Samoa

Switzerland def.

Venezuela

Ghana def.

Oman