64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1835
Belgium 1831
France 1794
England 1767
Italy 1761
Spain 1720
Argentina 1716
Portugal 1703
Denmark 1702
Germany 1664
Mexico 1663
Netherlands 1651
USA 1650
Switzerland 1642
Chile 1634
Uruguay 1627
Pot 2 & ranking points
Croatia 1615
Sweden 1591
Serbia 1582
Senegal 1563
Peru 1559
Iran 1546
Japan 1542
Morocco 1540
Korea Rep. 1530
Russia 1523
Tunisia 1520
Ukraine 1519
Paraguay 1516
Algeria 1510
Czech Republic 1509
Turkey 1500
Pot 3 & ranking points
Nigeria 1489
Costa Rica 1480
Hungary 1478
Scotland 1477
Australia 1473
Romania 1468
Canada 1465
Côte d'Ivoire 1453
Ecuador 1450
Saudi Arabia 1448
Egypt 1442
Cameroon 1440
Ghana 1438
Mali 1428
Qatar 1428
Jamaica 1427
Pot 4 & ranking points
China PR 1391
Panama 1388
El Salvador 1382
Burkina Faso 1382
UAE 1374
Honduras 1365
Israel 1359
Iraq 1358
Syria 1301
Gabon 1301
Armenia 1291
Jordan 1284
Uzbekistan 1278
Kenya 1250
Palestine 1249
New Zealand 1197
Group 1
2Tunisia 9
1England 6
3Hungary 1
4Uzbekistan 1
Avg. Ranking 1511
Group 2
1Denmark 6
3Cameroon 5
2Russia 4
4Palestine 1
Avg. Ranking 1479
Group 3
4China PR 6
1Switzerland 4
2Czech Republic 4
3Nigeria 2
Avg. Ranking 1508
Group 4
1Netherlands 7
2Peru 6
4El Salvador 3
3Mali 1
Avg. Ranking 1505
Group 5
1Germany 7
2Iran 5
4Israel 3
3Canada 1
Avg. Ranking 1509
Group 6
1Belgium 9
3Scotland 6
2Morocco 3
4Syria 0
Avg. Ranking 1537
Group 7
1Spain 9
2Sweden 4
3Saudi Arabia 2
4Panama 1
Avg. Ranking 1537
Group 8
3Jamaica 7
1Portugal 5
2Korea Rep. 4
4Armenia 0
Avg. Ranking 1488
Group 9
1Italy 7
3Costa Rica 6
4Gabon 4
2Turkey 0
Avg. Ranking 1510
Group 10
1Brazil 7
2Ukraine 4
3Egypt 2
4Honduras 2
Avg. Ranking 1540
Group 11
4Burkina Faso 6
1Argentina 6
2Japan 3
3Romania 3
Avg. Ranking 1527
Group 12
1France 9
3Ecuador 4
4UAE 4
2Senegal 0
Avg. Ranking 1545
Group 13
1Mexico 7
3Côte d'Ivoire 4
4Iraq 3
2Paraguay 2
Avg. Ranking 1497
Group 14
2Algeria 6
3Qatar 6
1Chile 6
4New Zealand 0
Avg. Ranking 1442
Group 15
2Serbia 9
1Uruguay 6
3Ghana 1
4Jordan 1
Avg. Ranking 1483
Group 16
2Croatia 7
1USA 5
3Australia 4
4Kenya 0
Avg. Ranking 1497
Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1845
Brazil 1836
France 1810
Italy 1765
England 1759
Spain 1741
Argentina 1711
Portugal 1697
Pot 2 & ranking points
Denmark 1696
Germany 1675
Mexico 1672
Netherlands 1662
USA 1650
Croatia 1630
Switzerland 1629
Uruguay 1627
Pot 3 & ranking points
Serbia 1611
Sweden 1586
Peru 1567
Tunisia 1556
Iran 1555
Ukraine 1521
Algeria 1516
Costa Rica 1494
Pot 4 & ranking points
Scotland 1493
Ecuador 1458
Côte d'Ivoire 1457
Jamaica 1456
Cameroon 1455
Qatar 1442
China PR 1414
Burkina Faso 1407
Group 1
1Argentina 9
2Germany 6
4Burkina Faso 3
3Ukraine 0
Avg. Ranking 1578
Group 2
1Italy 6
2Netherlands 6
4Qatar 3
3Algeria 3
Avg. Ranking 1596
Group 3
3Sweden 6
1France 4
4China PR 4
2Mexico 3
Avg. Ranking 1621
Group 4
1England 7
3Tunisia 5
2Switzerland 2
4Jamaica 1
Avg. Ranking 1600
Group 5
1Spain 7
2Croatia 5
4Côte d'Ivoire 3
3Peru 1
Avg. Ranking 1599
Group 6
1Brazil 7
2USA 5
4Cameroon 3
3Serbia 1
Avg. Ranking 1638
Group 7
1Belgium 9
2Uruguay 6
4Scotland 3
3Costa Rica 0
Avg. Ranking 1615
Group 8
1Portugal 6
3Iran 6
2Denmark 6
4Ecuador 0
Avg. Ranking 1602
Netherlands def. Argentina
Sweden def. Tunisia
Spain def. USA
Belgium def. Iran
Italy def. Germany
England def. France
Brazil def. Croatia
Portugal def. Uruguay
Netherlands def. Sweden
Spain def. Belgium
Italy def. England
Portugal def. Brazil
Spain def. Netherlands
Portugal def. Italy
Portugal def. Spain
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Switzerland 18
2 Armenia 14
3 Iceland 12
4 Wales 12
5 Andorra 0
1 Italy 22
2 Scotland 14
3 Belarus 11
4 Rep. of Ireland 9
5 Malta 0
1 Serbia 21
2 Croatia 18
3 Estonia 12
4 Albania 9
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 France 21
2 Sweden 16
3 Slovenia 11
4 Bulgaria 9
5 Gibraltar 0
1 Spain 21
2 Israel 16
3 Austria 15
4 Northern Ireland 7
5 Lithuania 0
1 Belgium 21
2 Russia 18
3 Greece 12
4 Georgia 9
5 Latvia 0
1 England 20
2 Romania 14
3 Poland 13
4 North Macedonia 9
5 San Marino 1
1 Netherlands 18
2 Turkey 17
3 Norway 17
4 Cyprus 3
5 Azerbaijan 3
1 Portugal 24
2 Czech Republic 15
3 Slovakia 12
4 Kosovo 6
5 Faroe Islands 3
1 Denmark 24
2 Ukraine 13
3 Montenegro 11
4 Kazakhstan 9
5 Finland 1
1 Germany 20
2 Hungary 15
3 Luxembourg 10
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 10
5 Moldova 0
1 New Zealand 10
2 Tonga 6
3 New Caledonia 5
4 American Samoa 3
5 Vanuatu 1
1 Samoa 9
2 Tahiti 5
3 Papua New Guinea 5
4 Fiji 5
5 Solomon Islands 3
1 Brazil 40
2 Chile 37
3 Uruguay 34
4 Argentina 31
5 Paraguay 28
6 Peru 27
7 Ecuador 22
8 Colombia 16
9 Venezuela 15
10 Bolivia 5
1 Mexico 40
2 Honduras 33
3 Suriname 23
4 Curaçao 19
5 Puerto Rico 14
6 Grenada 12
7 Cuba 9
8 US Virgin Isl. 9
1 Costa Rica 38
2 El Salvador 34
3 Belize 23
4 Montserrat 16
5 Trinidad & Tobago 16
6 Dominican Republic 16
7 St. Kitts and Nevis 9
8 Cayman Islands 6
1 Canada 34
2 Jamaica 33
3 Antigua & Barbuda 24
4 Guatemala 20
5 Bermuda 19
6 Dominica 18
7 British Virgin Isl. 6
8 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 5
1 USA 37
2 Panama 30
3 Haiti 26
4 Barbados 18
5 Nicaragua 17
6 St. Lucia 13
7 Guyana 12
8 Anguilla 1
1 Algeria 13
2 Comoros 8
3 Cabo Verde 7
4 Angola 5
1 Ghana 15
2 Madagascar 13
3 Equatorial Guinea 4
4 Mauritius 3
1 Gabon 15
2 Nigeria 13
3 Sierra Leone 7
4 Somalia 0
1 Kenya 14
2 Congo DR 10
3 Tanzania 6
4 Mozambique 4
1 Egypt 11
2 Niger 9
3 Zambia 8
4 Botswana 4
1 Senegal 15
2 Uganda 10
3 Libya 5
4 Liberia 3
1 Mali 13
2 Congo 10
3 Rwanda 6
4 Sudan 5
1 Burkina Faso 10
2 South Africa 9
3 Malawi 8
4 Burundi 6
1 Côte d'Ivoire 18
2 Mauritania 10
3 Lesotho 5
4 Togo 1
1 Cameroon 13
2 Guinea 11
3 Zimbabwe 8
4 Ethiopia 1
1 Morocco 16
2 Guinea-Bissau 8
3 Gambia 7
4 Central African Republic 2
1 Tunisia 15
2 Benin 8
3 Namibia 5
4 Eswatini 5
1 Iran 22
2 Jordan 18
3 UAE 17
4 India 16
5 Chinese Taipei 8
6 Hong Kong 3
1 China PR 26
2 Qatar 20
3 Afghanistan 15
4 Kyrgyz Republic 13
5 Philippines 9
6 Guam 3
1 Korea Rep. 26
2 Syria 21
3 Tajikistan 12
4 Yemen 10
5 Bahrain 10
6 Indonesia 6
1 Japan 25
2 Palestine 20
3 Oman 19
4 Singapore 7
5 Myanmar 7
6 Turkmenistan 6
1 Australia 21
2 Uzbekistan 17
3 Bhutan 17
4 Vietnam 15
5 Thailand 9
6 Kuwait 4
1 Saudi Arabia 23
2 Iraq 22
3 Korea DPR 17
4 Lebanon 13
5 Maldives 5
6 Cambodia 3
OFC Final
New Zealand def. Tonga
Intercontinental Playoffs
UAE def. Wales
Nigeria def. Tonga
UAE def. Haiti
Nigeria def. Colombia