64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points

Belgium 1846

Brazil 1835

France 1815

Argentina 1814

England 1780

Italy 1742

Spain 1707

Switzerland 1690

Netherlands 1675

Denmark 1671

Germany 1653

Portugal 1644

Uruguay 1635

USA 1634

Croatia 1631

Wales 1611
Pot 2 & ranking points

Sweden 1586

Senegal 1586

Peru 1586

Colombia 1585

Iran 1585

Serbia 1558

Morocco 1557

Ukraine 1546

Austria 1544

Tunisia 1541

Czech Republic 1533

Algeria 1528

Poland 1520

Japan 1514

Nigeria 1514

Australia 1513
Pot 3 & ranking points

Russia 1501

Egypt 1489

Canada 1478

Qatar 1473

Ecuador 1471

Saudi Arabia 1469

Jamaica 1464

Romania 1453

Korea Rep. 1449

Mali 1448

Cameroon 1447

Panama 1438

Northern Ireland 1424

Bosnia & Herzegovina 1418

Congo DR 1416

Burkina Faso 1390
Pot 4 & ranking points

El Salvador 1390

Iraq 1381

Honduras 1372

China PR 1366

Curaçao 1366

UAE 1343

Bolivia 1338

Haiti 1330

Armenia 1310

Syria 1294

Uzbekistan 1290

India 1235

Kenya 1226

New Zealand 1210

Equatorial Guinea 1201

Thailand 1175
Group 1
3Panama 9
1Croatia 6
2Sweden 3
4Thailand 0
Avg. Ranking 1457
Group 2
1Argentina 9
3Qatar 4
2Algeria 3
4Armenia 1
Avg. Ranking 1531
Group 3
1Switzerland 6
3Congo DR 6
2Austria 3
4Syria 3
Avg. Ranking 1486
Group 4
2Peru 9
1USA 6
3Saudi Arabia 3
4Kenya 0
Avg. Ranking 1479
Group 5
1Brazil 9
4El Salvador 4
2Iran 3
3Burkina Faso 1
Avg. Ranking 1550
Group 6
1Italy 7
3Cameroon 4
2Poland 3
4Curaçao 3
Avg. Ranking 1519
Group 7
1Germany 9
3Egypt 6
2Colombia 3
4Haiti 0
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 8
1Denmark 7
3Ecuador 5
4Honduras 3
2Tunisia 1
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 9
1France 7
2Czech Republic 6
3Mali 4
4Iraq 0
Avg. Ranking 1544
Group 10
1England 6
2Serbia 4
3Korea Rep. 4
4New Zealand 3
Avg. Ranking 1500
Group 11
1Uruguay 7
2Ukraine 4
4India 2
3Romania 2
Avg. Ranking 1467
Group 12
1Netherlands 9
3Bosnia & Herzegovina 4
2Nigeria 3
4Uzbekistan 1
Avg. Ranking 1474
Group 13
2Senegal 7
3Jamaica 6
1Belgium 4
4UAE 0
Avg. Ranking 1560
Group 14
1Wales 9
3Northern Ireland 6
4Bolivia 1
2Japan 1
Avg. Ranking 1472
Group 15
2Morocco 5
3Canada 5
4China PR 4
1Spain 1
Avg. Ranking 1527
Group 16
2Australia 6
3Russia 6
1Portugal 4
4Equatorial Guinea 1
Avg. Ranking 1465
Pot 1 & ranking points

Brazil 1849

Argentina 1828

France 1818

England 1770

Italy 1747

Netherlands 1695

Switzerland 1686

Denmark 1682
Pot 2 & ranking points

Germany 1677

Uruguay 1645

Wales 1635

USA 1633

Croatia 1629

Peru 1614

Senegal 1608

Morocco 1567
Pot 3 & ranking points

Serbia 1554

Czech Republic 1546

Ukraine 1540

Australia 1522

Russia 1510

Egypt 1504

Canada 1494

Ecuador 1487
Pot 4 & ranking points

Jamaica 1484

Qatar 1478

Panama 1477

Cameroon 1453

Northern Ireland 1440

Congo DR 1434

Bosnia & Herzegovina 1423

El Salvador 1402
Group 1
1England 9
4Congo DR 6
2Peru 3
3Russia 0
Avg. Ranking 1582
Group 2
1Italy 9
2Croatia 6
3Canada 1
4Cameroon 1
Avg. Ranking 1581
Group 3
1France 9
3Czech Republic 6
4Panama 1
2Senegal 1
Avg. Ranking 1612
Group 4
1Netherlands 7
2USA 7
3Ecuador 3
4Northern Ireland 0
Avg. Ranking 1564
Group 5
1Denmark 7
3Ukraine 5
4Qatar 4
2Uruguay 0
Avg. Ranking 1586
Group 6
1Brazil 9
3Australia 6
4Bosnia & Herzegovina 1
2Morocco 1
Avg. Ranking 1590
Group 7
2Germany 9
1Argentina 4
4El Salvador 3
3Serbia 1
Avg. Ranking 1616
Group 8
2Wales 6
1Switzerland 4
4Jamaica 4
3Egypt 2
Avg. Ranking 1577

Croatia def.

England

USA def.

France

Denmark def.

Australia

Germany def.

Switzerland

Italy def.

Congo DR

Czech Republic def.

Netherlands

Brazil def.

Ukraine

Wales def.

Argentina

Croatia def.

USA

Germany def.

Denmark

Italy def.

Czech Republic

Brazil def.

Wales

Germany def.

Croatia

Italy def.

Brazil

Germany def.

Italy
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 England 22
2 Poland 13
3 Israel 11
4 Norway 9
5 Lithuania 3
1 Spain 18
2 Czech Republic 17
3 Finland 11
4 Bulgaria 9
5 Gibraltar 0
1 Netherlands 20
2 Wales 20
3 Slovenia 12
4 Faroe Islands 6
5 Cyprus 0
1 Germany 19
2 Armenia 18
3 Scotland 9
4 Greece 8
5 Malta 3
1 Belgium 22
2 Serbia 16
3 Montenegro 11
4 Rep. of Ireland 8
5 San Marino 0
1 Denmark 20
2 Romania 14
3 Estonia 13
4 Hungary 10
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 France 24
2 Russia 15
3 Slovakia 13
4 Kosovo 4
5 Azerbaijan 3
1 Switzerland 24
2 Northern Ireland 11
3 Turkey 9
4 North Macedonia 7
5 Kazakhstan 3
1 Austria 19
2 Portugal 16
3 Latvia 11
4 Luxembourg 5
5 Albania 4
1 Italy 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 15
3 Sweden 14
4 Georgia 8
5 Andorra 1
1 Croatia 18
2 Ukraine 17
3 Iceland 14
4 Belarus 4
5 Moldova 2
1 Samoa 8
2 Papua New Guinea 6
3 Tahiti 5
4 Solomon Islands 5
5 Vanuatu 3
1 New Zealand 12
2 Fiji 7
3 American Samoa 5
4 New Caledonia 2
5 Tonga 1
1 Argentina 45
2 Brazil 41
3 Uruguay 33
4 Peru 31
5 Colombia 26
6 Ecuador 23
7 Bolivia 17
8 Paraguay 16
9 Venezuela 14
10 Chile 12
1 Jamaica 37
2 Curaçao 35
3 Mexico 32
4 Nicaragua 24
5 Montserrat 14
6 Dominican Republic 10
7 Anguilla 5
8 Belize 5
1 Panama 38
2 Haiti 35
3 Costa Rica 32
4 Barbados 21
5 Puerto Rico 13
6 Suriname 10
7 Dominica 9
8 British Virgin Isl. 6
1 USA 35
2 Honduras 34
3 Guatemala 22
4 Antigua & Barbuda 22
5 Guyana 16
6 Bermuda 12
7 Cuba 9
8 Cayman Islands 8
1 Canada 35
2 El Salvador 34
3 Trinidad & Tobago 24
4 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 19
5 St. Kitts and Nevis 13
6 Grenada 13
7 St. Lucia 12
8 US Virgin Isl. 4
1 Nigeria 18
2 Lesotho 7
3 Cabo Verde 5
4 Central African Republic 4
1 Algeria 16
2 Guinea-Bissau 10
3 Burundi 4
4 Sudan 4
1 Cameroon 14
2 Guinea 13
3 Libya 6
4 Eritrea 1
1 Egypt 18
2 Gabon 9
3 Ethiopia 6
4 Malawi 3
1 Equatorial Guinea 13
2 Côte d'Ivoire 10
3 Zambia 6
4 Gambia 5
1 Kenya 11
2 Ghana 9
3 Niger 8
4 Eswatini 3
1 Congo DR 18
2 Benin 8
3 Zimbabwe 7
4 Chad 1
1 Morocco 18
2 Botswana 9
3 Sierra Leone 4
4 Uganda 4
1 Senegal 18
2 Congo 10
3 Angola 4
4 Rwanda 2
1 Burkina Faso 11
2 Madagascar 10
3 Liberia 9
4 Namibia 2
1 Tunisia 18
2 Mauritania 12
3 Togo 3
4 Comoros 3
1 Mali 15
2 Mozambique 10
3 South Africa 10
4 Tanzania 0
1 Japan 22
2 India 19
3 Jordan 12
4 Oman 10
5 Cambodia 10
6 Maldives 8
1 Saudi Arabia 26
2 Syria 20
3 Palestine 17
4 Korea DPR 12
5 Singapore 8
6 Kuwait 3
1 Iraq 25
2 Korea Rep. 16
3 Bahrain 15
4 Indonesia 13
5 Philippines 9
6 Hong Kong 8
1 Iran 28
2 Uzbekistan 19
3 Lebanon 14
4 Turkmenistan 12
5 Nepal 7
6 Myanmar 7
1 Australia 27
2 Thailand 16
3 UAE 16
4 Kyrgyz Republic 14
5 Yemen 10
6 Brunei 4
1 Qatar 27
2 China PR 24
3 Vietnam 14
4 Chinese Taipei 10
5 Bangladesh 8
6 Tajikistan 4
OFC Final

New Zealand def.

Fiji
Intercontinental Playoffs

Mexico def.

Paraguay

Ghana def.

Fiji

UAE def.

Mexico

Sweden def.

Ghana