64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1882
France 1802
Belgium 1797
Argentina 1794
England 1786
Spain 1697
Italy 1690
USA 1684
Portugal 1677
Mexico 1675
Netherlands 1666
Germany 1641
Switzerland 1640
Denmark 1636
Croatia 1624
Uruguay 1604
Pot 2 & ranking points
Wales 1588
Senegal 1577
Chile 1567
Korea Rep. 1554
Morocco 1554
Poland 1553
Colombia 1552
Turkey 1549
Ukraine 1546
Austria 1541
Serbia 1534
Japan 1531
Peru 1527
Iran 1525
Algeria 1520
Russia 1508
Pot 3 & ranking points
Tunisia 1505
Australia 1502
Slovakia 1492
Nigeria 1474
Scotland 1467
Ghana 1466
Mali 1464
Canada 1460
Jamaica 1457
Greece 1455
Hungary 1451
Burkina Faso 1443
Ecuador 1437
Costa Rica 1435
Saudi Arabia 1433
Cameroon 1432
Pot 4 & ranking points
Panama 1430
Honduras 1382
Congo DR 1369
El Salvador 1362
UAE 1360
China PR 1341
Curaçao 1328
Bahrain 1300
Syria 1279
Lebanon 1278
Kyrgyz Republic 1247
Vietnam 1230
Namibia 1195
Tajikistan 1191
Zimbabwe 1185
Vanuatu 1051
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1893
Argentina 1807
Belgium 1789
England 1778
Spain 1718
Italy 1710
Portugal 1701
Mexico 1695
Pot 2 & ranking points
USA 1668
Germany 1639
Switzerland 1637
Denmark 1636
Wales 1607
Uruguay 1604
Chile 1601
Senegal 1583
Pot 3 & ranking points
Morocco 1576
Poland 1574
Korea Rep. 1571
Ukraine 1554
Russia 1547
Algeria 1542
Australia 1516
Tunisia 1507
Pot 4 & ranking points
Jamaica 1494
Nigeria 1489
Mali 1466
Saudi Arabia 1463
Cameroon 1434
Costa Rica 1428
UAE 1387
Tajikistan 1203
Chile def.
Ukraine
Belgium def.
England
Brazil def.
Jamaica
Morocco def.
Poland
Portugal def.
Saudi Arabia
Germany def.
USA
Wales def.
Spain
Italy def.
Denmark
Chile def.
Belgium
Morocco def.
Brazil
Portugal def.
Germany
Italy def.
Wales
Morocco def.
Chile
Portugal def.
Italy
Portugal def.
Morocco
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Belgium 162 Greece 163 Sweden 144 Lithuania 75 Kosovo 4
1 Wales 182 Denmark 163 Finland 154 Belarus 95 Liechtenstein 1
1 Spain 172 Serbia 123 Montenegro 104 Faroe Islands 75 Bosnia & Herzegovina 7
1 England 242 Scotland 123 Rep. of Ireland 124 Cyprus 55 Latvia 2
1 Poland 172 Croatia 173 Romania 134 Georgia 45 Azerbaijan 4
1 Netherlands 192 Slovakia 173 Czech Republic 114 Bulgaria 105 Andorra 0
1 Austria 192 Germany 183 Armenia 104 Iceland 95 Malta 3
1 France 222 Russia 163 Norway 154 Estonia 45 Moldova 1
1 Portugal 212 Ukraine 183 Slovenia 94 Luxembourg 95 Gibraltar 3
1 Switzerland 172 Hungary 123 Kazakhstan 114 Northern Ireland 95 Israel 7
1 Turkey 242 Italy 133 North Macedonia 124 Albania 65 San Marino 1
1 Tahiti 92 Solomon Islands 73 American Samoa 74 Samoa 35 Fiji 3
1 New Zealand 92 Vanuatu 93 New Caledonia 64 Papua New Guinea 45 Tonga 1
1 Brazil 472 Argentina 423 Uruguay 294 Chile 275 Peru 226 Colombia 197 Ecuador 178 Paraguay 169 Venezuela 1510 Bolivia 13
1 USA 422 Curaçao 303 El Salvador 264 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 185 Barbados 186 Nicaragua 147 Aruba 128 Dominica 1
1 Jamaica 392 Costa Rica 323 Guatemala 214 Suriname 195 Belize 186 Dominican Republic 137 Montserrat 128 Anguilla 6
1 Panama 372 Canada 333 Haiti 314 Antigua & Barbuda 205 St. Lucia 156 Grenada 137 Cayman Islands 88 Puerto Rico 6
1 Mexico 422 Honduras 363 Trinidad & Tobago 204 Cuba 165 Bermuda 166 St. Kitts and Nevis 157 Guyana 118 Bahamas 6
1 Cameroon 132 Kenya 83 Malawi 74 Chad 6
1 Morocco 182 Libya 73 Rwanda 64 Guinea-Bissau 4
1 Senegal 162 Tanzania 103 Benin 74 Angola 1
1 Zimbabwe 132 Côte d'Ivoire 93 Gabon 84 Botswana 4
1 Congo DR 122 Madagascar 103 Sudan 94 Burundi 4
1 Mali 182 Central African Republic 123 Zambia 64 Eswatini 0
1 Burkina Faso 182 Cabo Verde 123 Lesotho 44 Niger 1
1 Nigeria 132 Ethiopia 123 Mauritania 64 Sierra Leone 4
1 Tunisia 132 Uganda 113 Mozambique 84 Mauritius 1
1 Algeria 142 Togo 63 Liberia 54 Guinea 5
1 Namibia 122 South Africa 113 Egypt 114 Eritrea 0
1 Ghana 182 Equatorial Guinea 63 Congo 64 Comoros 2
1 Japan 222 UAE 203 Jordan 154 Yemen 145 Pakistan 86 Thailand 3
1 Lebanon 222 China PR 183 Korea DPR 174 Qatar 165 Bangladesh 66 Hong Kong 5
1 Australia 252 Kyrgyz Republic 173 Iraq 174 Kuwait 125 India 86 Nepal 4
1 Saudi Arabia 212 Syria 193 Palestine 174 Turkmenistan 105 Cambodia 106 Malaysia 9
1 Korea Rep. 302 Vietnam 163 Uzbekistan 154 Philippines 105 Chinese Taipei 106 Indonesia 4
1 Bahrain 222 Tajikistan 183 Iran 184 Oman 175 Afghanistan 76 Macau 6
OFC Final
Vanuatu def.
New Zealand
Intercontinental Playoffs
El Salvador def.
Paraguay
Iran def.
Sweden
El Salvador def.
Egypt
Iran def.
New Zealand