64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1867
Belgium 1857
Argentina 1770
France 1767
England 1763
Italy 1748
Colombia 1712
Spain 1696
Portugal 1677
Denmark 1677
Switzerland 1675
Mexico 1655
Netherlands 1654
USA 1649
Croatia 1633
Germany 1612
Pot 2 & ranking points
Sweden 1606
Iran 1600
Senegal 1589
Wales 1580
Uruguay 1568
Ukraine 1563
Czech Republic 1559
Morocco 1555
Serbia 1548
Japan 1542
Chile 1539
Russia 1529
Poland 1528
Turkey 1528
Australia 1525
Algeria 1510
Pot 3 & ranking points
Tunisia 1505
Peru 1499
Korea Rep. 1498
Jamaica 1474
Qatar 1469
Norway 1467
Canada 1466
Nigeria 1458
Hungary 1457
Costa Rica 1452
Egypt 1450
Paraguay 1447
Mali 1444
Ghana 1442
Panama 1427
Cameroon 1426
Pot 4 & ranking points
Saudi Arabia 1420
Albania 1418
Congo DR 1417
UAE 1406
Burkina Faso 1402
El Salvador 1395
Honduras 1366
Haiti 1321
Syria 1315
Gabon 1268
Vietnam 1267
Palestine 1254
India 1187
Thailand 1162
Myanmar 1123
Fiji 1017
Group 1
2Czech Republic 7
1Brazil 6
3Ghana 4
4Thailand 0
Avg. Ranking 1508
Group 2
1Denmark 9
4Saudi Arabia 4
2Senegal 3
3Norway 1
Avg. Ranking 1538
Group 3
3Canada 7
1Netherlands 5
2Chile 3
4India 1
Avg. Ranking 1462
Group 4
1Argentina 9
2Algeria 6
3Panama 1
4Myanmar 1
Avg. Ranking 1457
Group 5
3Costa Rica 7
2Poland 4
1Switzerland 3
4Burkina Faso 3
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 6
2Sweden 7
1Portugal 5
3Peru 4
4Syria 0
Avg. Ranking 1524
Group 7
1Croatia 7
2Ukraine 5
4Palestine 3
3Cameroon 1
Avg. Ranking 1469
Group 8
1England 7
3Qatar 4
2Turkey 3
4Congo DR 2
Avg. Ranking 1544
Group 9
3Tunisia 5
2Russia 5
1Colombia 3
4Honduras 2
Avg. Ranking 1528
Group 10
1Italy 9
2Japan 6
3Nigeria 1
4El Salvador 1
Avg. Ranking 1536
Group 11
1Germany 7
2Morocco 4
3Korea Rep. 3
4Haiti 1
Avg. Ranking 1496
Group 12
1France 7
3Mali 4
2Uruguay 4
4Albania 1
Avg. Ranking 1549
Group 13
1Spain 7
2Australia 5
3Jamaica 4
4Fiji 0
Avg. Ranking 1428
Group 14
1Belgium 9
3Paraguay 4
4UAE 4
2Serbia 0
Avg. Ranking 1565
Group 15
1USA 5
3Hungary 4
4Gabon 3
2Iran 2
Avg. Ranking 1493
Group 16
3Egypt 9
1Mexico 4
2Wales 4
4Vietnam 0
Avg. Ranking 1488
Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1871
Brazil 1854
Argentina 1784
France 1773
England 1769
Italy 1767
Denmark 1701
Spain 1701
Pot 2 & ranking points
Portugal 1677
Netherlands 1651
USA 1648
Croatia 1643
Mexico 1641
Germany 1626
Sweden 1624
Czech Republic 1579
Pot 3 & ranking points
Ukraine 1567
Japan 1553
Morocco 1550
Russia 1541
Australia 1531
Poland 1527
Tunisia 1519
Algeria 1518
Pot 4 & ranking points
Canada 1491
Egypt 1490
Costa Rica 1482
Qatar 1476
Hungary 1460
Paraguay 1457
Mali 1453
Saudi Arabia 1430
Group 1
1Denmark 6
2Germany 6
3Australia 3
4Canada 3
Avg. Ranking 1587
Group 2
1Italy 7
2Sweden 7
4Saudi Arabia 3
3Algeria 0
Avg. Ranking 1585
Group 3
1France 7
2Croatia 5
4Costa Rica 4
3Japan 0
Avg. Ranking 1613
Group 4
1Argentina 7
2Netherlands 6
4Mali 2
3Poland 1
Avg. Ranking 1604
Group 5
1Belgium 9
3Ukraine 4
4Egypt 3
2USA 1
Avg. Ranking 1644
Group 6
1Brazil 6
3Russia 6
2Mexico 3
4Hungary 3
Avg. Ranking 1624
Group 7
1Spain 7
4Paraguay 4
2Czech Republic 3
3Morocco 2
Avg. Ranking 1572
Group 8
1England 7
2Portugal 5
3Tunisia 4
4Qatar 0
Avg. Ranking 1610
Denmark def. Sweden
Netherlands def. France
Russia def. Belgium
Portugal def. Spain
Germany def. Italy
Croatia def. Argentina
Brazil def. Ukraine
Paraguay def. England
Denmark def. Netherlands
Portugal def. Russia
Croatia def. Germany
Brazil def. Paraguay
Portugal def. Denmark
Croatia def. Brazil
Croatia def. Portugal
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Spain 18
2 Norway 14
3 Scotland 12
4 Montenegro 10
5 Moldova 2
1 Turkey 20
2 Germany 12
3 Finland 11
4 Azerbaijan 7
5 Bulgaria 5
1 England 20
2 Russia 19
3 Northern Ireland 12
4 Andorra 4
5 Estonia 3
1 Belgium 24
2 Sweden 18
3 Slovakia 12
4 Georgia 6
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 Denmark 21
2 Poland 15
3 Romania 9
4 Belarus 9
5 Faroe Islands 6
1 Portugal 21
2 Ukraine 19
3 Kosovo 11
4 Iceland 4
5 Lithuania 3
1 Czech Republic 21
2 France 18
3 Greece 10
4 Armenia 7
5 Malta 3
1 Netherlands 17
2 Wales 16
3 Slovenia 13
4 Israel 10
5 Kazakhstan 1
1 Croatia 18
2 Serbia 16
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 14
4 Latvia 4
5 Cyprus 2
1 Switzerland 22
2 Hungary 13
3 Rep. of Ireland 11
4 North Macedonia 10
5 San Marino 1
1 Italy 20
2 Albania 17
3 Austria 12
4 Luxembourg 7
5 Gibraltar 0
1 Solomon Islands 8
2 Fiji 5
3 Samoa 5
4 American Samoa 5
5 New Caledonia 2
1 Papua New Guinea 7
2 Tonga 7
3 New Zealand 6
4 Tahiti 4
5 Vanuatu 2
1 Brazil 46
2 Colombia 44
3 Argentina 40
4 Chile 24
5 Uruguay 23
6 Paraguay 18
7 Peru 18
8 Bolivia 15
9 Ecuador 14
10 Venezuela 13
1 USA 37
2 Haiti 32
3 El Salvador 32
4 Antigua & Barbuda 20
5 Belize 15
6 Barbados 11
7 St. Lucia 8
8 Cayman Islands 6
1 Mexico 39
2 Panama 35
3 Curaçao 32
4 St. Kitts and Nevis 16
5 Montserrat 11
6 Dominican Republic 10
7 US Virgin Isl. 10
8 Puerto Rico 6
1 Costa Rica 35
2 Honduras 34
3 Trinidad & Tobago 28
4 Nicaragua 22
5 Dominica 15
6 Grenada 14
7 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 7
8 British Virgin Isl. 5
1 Jamaica 40
2 Canada 34
3 Bermuda 22
4 Suriname 17
5 Guatemala 14
6 Guyana 10
7 Aruba 9
8 Cuba 8
1 Nigeria 11
2 Mauritania 9
3 South Sudan 5
4 Togo 5
1 Burkina Faso 13
2 Zambia 12
3 Eswatini 7
4 Central African Republic 3
1 Morocco 18
2 Kenya 8
3 Rwanda 6
4 Equatorial Guinea 1
1 Congo DR 18
2 Congo 8
3 Sierra Leone 3
4 Botswana 3
1 Ghana 14
2 Angola 9
3 South Africa 8
4 Djibouti 1
1 Mali 15
2 Liberia 10
3 Benin 7
4 Libya 2
1 Senegal 18
2 Ethiopia 7
3 Uganda 7
4 Niger 2
1 Tunisia 13
2 Guinea-Bissau 10
3 Mozambique 8
4 Tanzania 3
1 Gabon 10
2 Comoros 7
3 Zimbabwe 7
4 Côte d'Ivoire 6
1 Algeria 13
2 Guinea 9
3 Burundi 7
4 Namibia 6
1 Egypt 13
2 Madagascar 7
3 Sudan 6
4 Lesotho 5
1 Cameroon 12
2 Cabo Verde 12
3 Mauritius 7
4 Malawi 4
1 UAE 26
2 Japan 25
3 Kyrgyz Republic 16
4 Kuwait 12
5 Tajikistan 5
6 Pakistan 1
1 Iran 30
2 India 14
3 Oman 14
4 Lebanon 13
5 Malaysia 11
6 Nepal 3
1 Syria 22
2 Palestine 22
3 Saudi Arabia 18
4 Hong Kong 12
5 Turkmenistan 9
6 Mongolia 0
1 Vietnam 21
2 Korea Rep. 21
3 China PR 20
4 Singapore 9
5 Philippines 7
6 Yemen 4
1 Qatar 24
2 Myanmar 19
3 Iraq 16
4 Korea DPR 13
5 Bahrain 9
6 Chinese Taipei 2
1 Australia 28
2 Thailand 13
3 Afghanistan 12
4 Jordan 12
5 Uzbekistan 12
6 Cambodia 6
OFC Final
Fiji def. Tonga
Intercontinental Playoffs
Côte d'Ivoire def. Bolivia
Austria def. Tonga
Saudi Arabia def. Côte d'Ivoire
El Salvador def. Austria