64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1877
Belgium 1828
Argentina 1807
France 1807
England 1777
Spain 1708
Portugal 1704
Netherlands 1689
Switzerland 1673
Denmark 1661
Mexico 1631
USA 1623
Colombia 1617
Croatia 1615
Germany 1610
Sweden 1590
Pot 2 & ranking points
Peru 1585
Czech Republic 1578
Chile 1560
Morocco 1553
Serbia 1546
Tunisia 1543
Uruguay 1543
Iran 1542
Japan 1542
Algeria 1540
Ukraine 1538
Senegal 1537
Poland 1529
Australia 1511
Korea Rep. 1510
Scotland 1504
Pot 3 & ranking points
Turkey 1501
Austria 1499
Norway 1489
Saudi Arabia 1483
Russia 1478
Northern Ireland 1476
Nigeria 1474
Cameroon 1472
Qatar 1460
Egypt 1459
Jamaica 1450
Ghana 1448
Côte d'Ivoire 1446
Iceland 1435
Venezuela 1424
Panama 1424
Pot 4 & ranking points
Ecuador 1414
Burkina Faso 1404
Congo DR 1395
China PR 1387
El Salvador 1370
Honduras 1360
Guinea 1359
UAE 1357
Iraq 1357
Oman 1342
Curaçao 1324
India 1251
Namibia 1202
Guatemala 1200
Philippines 1165
Papua New Guinea 1061
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1864
Belgium 1830
Argentina 1823
England 1769
Spain 1715
Portugal 1688
Switzerland 1685
Denmark 1684
Pot 2 & ranking points
USA 1646
Croatia 1629
Mexico 1629
Colombia 1619
Sweden 1606
Czech Republic 1596
Peru 1595
Chile 1579
Pot 3 & ranking points
Ukraine 1573
Uruguay 1573
Morocco 1561
Serbia 1550
Algeria 1547
Senegal 1534
Korea Rep. 1525
Australia 1516
Pot 4 & ranking points
Austria 1514
Turkey 1504
Saudi Arabia 1496
Russia 1487
Jamaica 1483
Côte d'Ivoire 1480
Ecuador 1423
Honduras 1386
Algeria def.
Korea Rep.
Austria def.
Chile
Australia def.
Sweden
Brazil def.
Switzerland
England def.
Argentina
Uruguay def.
Honduras
Czech Republic def.
Morocco
Colombia def.
Russia
Algeria def.
Austria
Brazil def.
Australia
England def.
Uruguay
Czech Republic def.
Colombia
Brazil def.
Algeria
England def.
Czech Republic
Brazil def.
England
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 England 222 Russia 113 Bulgaria 114 Bosnia & Herzegovina 75 Azerbaijan 6
1 Netherlands 222 Norway 173 Wales 134 Israel 65 Gibraltar 0
1 Portugal 242 Austria 123 Montenegro 94 Slovenia 55 Lithuania 5
1 Denmark 192 Turkey 173 Finland 134 Armenia 45 Latvia 4
1 Scotland 172 Iceland 173 Italy 114 Georgia 105 Faroe Islands 1
1 Switzerland 222 Ukraine 163 Rep. of Ireland 104 Cyprus 75 Liechtenstein 2
1 Northern Ireland 212 Croatia 173 Hungary 144 Kosovo 65 Moldova 0
1 France 222 Serbia 153 Romania 144 North Macedonia 75 San Marino 0
1 Belgium 212 Poland 153 Belarus 124 Albania 125 Malta 0
1 Spain 192 Sweden 163 Kazakhstan 104 Greece 75 Estonia 6
1 Czech Republic 242 Germany 123 Luxembourg 114 Slovakia 105 Andorra 0
1 Papua New Guinea 122 Vanuatu 73 New Caledonia 44 Samoa 25 Solomon Islands 2
1 Tahiti 82 American Samoa 63 New Zealand 64 Tonga 35 Fiji 2
1 Brazil 482 Argentina 443 Peru 314 Colombia 315 Chile 276 Uruguay 217 Venezuela 208 Ecuador 139 Bolivia 1210 Paraguay 10
1 Honduras 322 Curaçao 313 Costa Rica 304 Dominican Republic 215 St. Lucia 216 Belize 197 Suriname 68 Aruba 4
1 Mexico 362 Jamaica 353 Haiti 274 Bermuda 185 St. Kitts and Nevis 186 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 137 Dominica 78 Cayman Islands 7
1 El Salvador 322 Guatemala 303 Canada 304 Antigua & Barbuda 185 Barbados 176 Cuba 147 Guyana 128 US Virgin Isl. 3
1 Panama 352 USA 343 Trinidad & Tobago 224 Puerto Rico 215 Nicaragua 196 Montserrat 157 Grenada 128 Bahamas 1
1 Egypt 132 South Africa 113 Comoros 74 Mozambique 3
1 Algeria 182 Gabon 103 Zimbabwe 64 South Sudan 1
1 Namibia 132 Mali 103 Congo 94 Mauritius 3
1 Morocco 182 Equatorial Guinea 103 Mauritania 74 Burundi 0
1 Cameroon 182 Kenya 93 Niger 54 Lesotho 2
1 Senegal 122 Central African Republic 113 Rwanda 54 Guinea-Bissau 5
1 Nigeria 132 Sierra Leone 113 Madagascar 84 Liberia 1
1 Côte d'Ivoire 162 Cabo Verde 93 Eswatini 54 Togo 4
1 Burkina Faso 132 Libya 73 Uganda 74 Botswana 3
1 Tunisia 182 Zambia 123 Ethiopia 64 Sudan 0
1 Guinea 182 Ghana 123 Malawi 24 Tanzania 2
1 Congo DR 152 Benin 123 Angola 74 Gambia 1
1 Qatar 252 Philippines 163 Singapore 134 Hong Kong 105 Uzbekistan 96 Vietnam 9
1 Saudi Arabia 282 UAE 213 Jordan 154 Kuwait 115 Pakistan 66 Tajikistan 6
1 Korea Rep. 232 Iraq 223 Korea DPR 154 Cambodia 115 Afghanistan 86 Palestine 4
1 Iran 222 Oman 213 Thailand 204 Bahrain 135 Myanmar 76 Mongolia 1
1 Australia 262 India 233 Lebanon 134 Syria 85 Laos 76 Maldives 6
1 Japan 252 China PR 253 Malaysia 164 Turkmenistan 95 Kyrgyz Republic 66 Nepal 4
OFC Final
Papua New Guinea def.
Tahiti
Intercontinental Playoffs
Ecuador def.
Tahiti
Ghana def.
Italy
Ecuador def.
Canada
Ghana def.
Jordan