64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1882
France 1802
Belgium 1797
Argentina 1794
England 1786
Spain 1697
Italy 1690
USA 1684
Portugal 1677
Mexico 1675
Netherlands 1666
Germany 1641
Switzerland 1640
Denmark 1636
Croatia 1624
Uruguay 1604
Pot 2 & ranking points
Wales 1588
Senegal 1577
Chile 1567
Korea Rep. 1554
Morocco 1554
Poland 1553
Colombia 1552
Turkey 1549
Ukraine 1546
Austria 1541
Serbia 1534
Japan 1531
Peru 1527
Iran 1525
Algeria 1520
Russia 1508
Pot 3 & ranking points
Tunisia 1505
Australia 1502
Slovakia 1492
Nigeria 1474
Scotland 1467
Ghana 1466
Mali 1464
Canada 1460
Jamaica 1457
Greece 1455
Hungary 1451
Burkina Faso 1443
Ecuador 1437
Costa Rica 1435
Saudi Arabia 1433
Cameroon 1432
Pot 4 & ranking points
Panama 1430
Honduras 1382
Congo DR 1369
El Salvador 1362
UAE 1360
China PR 1341
Curaçao 1328
Bahrain 1300
Syria 1279
Lebanon 1278
Kyrgyz Republic 1247
Vietnam 1230
Namibia 1195
Tajikistan 1191
Zimbabwe 1185
Vanuatu 1051
Group 1
1Spain 9
2Senegal 6
4Kyrgyz Republic 3
3Scotland 0
Avg. Ranking 1497
Group 2
2Chile 9
1England 6
3Ghana 1
4Curaçao 1
Avg. Ranking 1537
Group 3
1Germany 6
2Ukraine 6
4Lebanon 4
3Canada 1
Avg. Ranking 1482
Group 4
2Korea Rep. 7
1Uruguay 6
3Slovakia 4
4Zimbabwe 0
Avg. Ranking 1459
Group 5
2Wales 7
1Belgium 6
3Burkina Faso 4
4Bahrain 0
Avg. Ranking 1532
Group 6
1Mexico 9
3Mali 4
2Austria 2
4Vietnam 1
Avg. Ranking 1478
Group 7
2Poland 7
3Nigeria 6
4El Salvador 3
1Croatia 1
Avg. Ranking 1504
Group 8
2Russia 9
3Tunisia 4
1Netherlands 4
4Panama 0
Avg. Ranking 1528
Group 9
1Italy 9
3Costa Rica 3
4Syria 3
2Colombia 3
Avg. Ranking 1489
Group 10
2Morocco 7
4UAE 6
3Ecuador 2
1France 1
Avg. Ranking 1538
Group 11
3Jamaica 9
1Switzerland 6
2Japan 1
4Namibia 1
Avg. Ranking 1456
Group 12
1Brazil 9
4Tajikistan 3
2Serbia 3
3Hungary 3
Avg. Ranking 1515
Group 13
3Saudi Arabia 7
1Denmark 6
2Peru 3
4Honduras 1
Avg. Ranking 1494
Group 14
2Algeria 7
1USA 4
4China PR 3
3Greece 2
Avg. Ranking 1500
Group 15
1Portugal 9
3Australia 6
2Turkey 3
4Congo DR 0
Avg. Ranking 1524
Group 16
1Argentina 9
3Cameroon 4
2Iran 4
4Vanuatu 0
Avg. Ranking 1451
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1893
Argentina 1807
Belgium 1789
England 1778
Spain 1718
Italy 1710
Portugal 1701
Mexico 1695
Pot 2 & ranking points
USA 1668
Germany 1639
Switzerland 1637
Denmark 1636
Wales 1607
Uruguay 1604
Chile 1601
Senegal 1583
Pot 3 & ranking points
Morocco 1576
Poland 1574
Korea Rep. 1571
Ukraine 1554
Russia 1547
Algeria 1542
Australia 1516
Tunisia 1507
Pot 4 & ranking points
Jamaica 1494
Nigeria 1489
Mali 1466
Saudi Arabia 1463
Cameroon 1434
Costa Rica 1428
UAE 1387
Tajikistan 1203
Group 1
2Chile 9
1Portugal 6
4Costa Rica 3
3Algeria 0
Avg. Ranking 1568
Group 2
4Saudi Arabia 6
3Ukraine 6
2Senegal 4
1Mexico 1
Avg. Ranking 1574
Group 3
1England 7
2Germany 5
4UAE 3
3Tunisia 1
Avg. Ranking 1578
Group 4
2USA 6
1Belgium 6
3Russia 3
4Mali 3
Avg. Ranking 1617
Group 5
1Brazil 9
2Wales 6
3Korea Rep. 3
4Cameroon 0
Avg. Ranking 1626
Group 6
1Spain 4
4Jamaica 4
3Australia 4
2Switzerland 3
Avg. Ranking 1591
Group 7
3Morocco 9
1Italy 4
2Uruguay 4
4Tajikistan 0
Avg. Ranking 1523
Group 8
2Denmark 9
3Poland 4
1Argentina 4
4Nigeria 0
Avg. Ranking 1626
Chile def. Ukraine
Belgium def. England
Brazil def. Jamaica
Morocco def. Poland
Portugal def. Saudi Arabia
Germany def. USA
Wales def. Spain
Italy def. Denmark
Chile def. Belgium
Morocco def. Brazil
Portugal def. Germany
Italy def. Wales
Morocco def. Chile
Portugal def. Italy
Portugal def. Morocco
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Belgium 16
2 Greece 16
3 Sweden 14
4 Lithuania 7
5 Kosovo 4
1 Wales 18
2 Denmark 16
3 Finland 15
4 Belarus 9
5 Liechtenstein 1
1 Spain 17
2 Serbia 12
3 Montenegro 10
4 Faroe Islands 7
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 7
1 England 24
2 Scotland 12
3 Rep. of Ireland 12
4 Cyprus 5
5 Latvia 2
1 Poland 17
2 Croatia 17
3 Romania 13
4 Georgia 4
5 Azerbaijan 4
1 Netherlands 19
2 Slovakia 17
3 Czech Republic 11
4 Bulgaria 10
5 Andorra 0
1 Austria 19
2 Germany 18
3 Armenia 10
4 Iceland 9
5 Malta 3
1 France 22
2 Russia 16
3 Norway 15
4 Estonia 4
5 Moldova 1
1 Portugal 21
2 Ukraine 18
3 Slovenia 9
4 Luxembourg 9
5 Gibraltar 3
1 Switzerland 17
2 Hungary 12
3 Kazakhstan 11
4 Northern Ireland 9
5 Israel 7
1 Turkey 24
2 Italy 13
3 North Macedonia 12
4 Albania 6
5 San Marino 1
1 Tahiti 9
2 Solomon Islands 7
3 American Samoa 7
4 Samoa 3
5 Fiji 3
1 New Zealand 9
2 Vanuatu 9
3 New Caledonia 6
4 Papua New Guinea 4
5 Tonga 1
1 Brazil 47
2 Argentina 42
3 Uruguay 29
4 Chile 27
5 Peru 22
6 Colombia 19
7 Ecuador 17
8 Paraguay 16
9 Venezuela 15
10 Bolivia 13
1 USA 42
2 Curaçao 30
3 El Salvador 26
4 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 18
5 Barbados 18
6 Nicaragua 14
7 Aruba 12
8 Dominica 1
1 Jamaica 39
2 Costa Rica 32
3 Guatemala 21
4 Suriname 19
5 Belize 18
6 Dominican Republic 13
7 Montserrat 12
8 Anguilla 6
1 Panama 37
2 Canada 33
3 Haiti 31
4 Antigua & Barbuda 20
5 St. Lucia 15
6 Grenada 13
7 Cayman Islands 8
8 Puerto Rico 6
1 Mexico 42
2 Honduras 36
3 Trinidad & Tobago 20
4 Cuba 16
5 Bermuda 16
6 St. Kitts and Nevis 15
7 Guyana 11
8 Bahamas 6
1 Cameroon 13
2 Kenya 8
3 Malawi 7
4 Chad 6
1 Morocco 18
2 Libya 7
3 Rwanda 6
4 Guinea-Bissau 4
1 Senegal 16
2 Tanzania 10
3 Benin 7
4 Angola 1
1 Zimbabwe 13
2 Côte d'Ivoire 9
3 Gabon 8
4 Botswana 4
1 Congo DR 12
2 Madagascar 10
3 Sudan 9
4 Burundi 4
1 Mali 18
2 Central African Republic 12
3 Zambia 6
4 Eswatini 0
1 Burkina Faso 18
2 Cabo Verde 12
3 Lesotho 4
4 Niger 1
1 Nigeria 13
2 Ethiopia 12
3 Mauritania 6
4 Sierra Leone 4
1 Tunisia 13
2 Uganda 11
3 Mozambique 8
4 Mauritius 1
1 Algeria 14
2 Togo 6
3 Liberia 5
4 Guinea 5
1 Namibia 12
2 South Africa 11
3 Egypt 11
4 Eritrea 0
1 Ghana 18
2 Equatorial Guinea 6
3 Congo 6
4 Comoros 2
1 Japan 22
2 UAE 20
3 Jordan 15
4 Yemen 14
5 Pakistan 8
6 Thailand 3
1 Lebanon 22
2 China PR 18
3 Korea DPR 17
4 Qatar 16
5 Bangladesh 6
6 Hong Kong 5
1 Australia 25
2 Kyrgyz Republic 17
3 Iraq 17
4 Kuwait 12
5 India 8
6 Nepal 4
1 Saudi Arabia 21
2 Syria 19
3 Palestine 17
4 Turkmenistan 10
5 Cambodia 10
6 Malaysia 9
1 Korea Rep. 30
2 Vietnam 16
3 Uzbekistan 15
4 Philippines 10
5 Chinese Taipei 10
6 Indonesia 4
1 Bahrain 22
2 Tajikistan 18
3 Iran 18
4 Oman 17
5 Afghanistan 7
6 Macau 6
OFC Final
Vanuatu def. New Zealand
Intercontinental Playoffs
El Salvador def. Paraguay
Iran def. Sweden
El Salvador def. Egypt
Iran def. New Zealand