64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points

Brazil 1835

Belgium 1831

France 1794

England 1767

Italy 1761

Spain 1720

Argentina 1716

Portugal 1703

Denmark 1702

Germany 1664

Mexico 1663

Netherlands 1651

USA 1650

Switzerland 1642

Chile 1634

Uruguay 1627
Pot 2 & ranking points

Croatia 1615

Sweden 1591

Serbia 1582

Senegal 1563

Peru 1559

Iran 1546

Japan 1542

Morocco 1540

Korea Rep. 1530

Russia 1523

Tunisia 1520

Ukraine 1519

Paraguay 1516

Algeria 1510

Czech Republic 1509

Turkey 1500
Pot 3 & ranking points

Nigeria 1489

Costa Rica 1480

Hungary 1478

Scotland 1477

Australia 1473

Romania 1468

Canada 1465

Côte d'Ivoire 1453

Ecuador 1450

Saudi Arabia 1448

Egypt 1442

Cameroon 1440

Ghana 1438

Mali 1428

Qatar 1428

Jamaica 1427
Pot 4 & ranking points

China PR 1391

Panama 1388

El Salvador 1382

Burkina Faso 1382

UAE 1374

Honduras 1365

Israel 1359

Iraq 1358

Syria 1301

Gabon 1301

Armenia 1291

Jordan 1284

Uzbekistan 1278

Kenya 1250

Palestine 1249

New Zealand 1197
Pot 1 & ranking points

Belgium 1845

Brazil 1836

France 1810

Italy 1765

England 1759

Spain 1741

Argentina 1711

Portugal 1697
Pot 2 & ranking points

Denmark 1696

Germany 1675

Mexico 1672

Netherlands 1662

USA 1650

Croatia 1630

Switzerland 1629

Uruguay 1627
Pot 3 & ranking points

Serbia 1611

Sweden 1586

Peru 1567

Tunisia 1556

Iran 1555

Ukraine 1521

Algeria 1516

Costa Rica 1494
Pot 4 & ranking points

Scotland 1493

Ecuador 1458

Côte d'Ivoire 1457

Jamaica 1456

Cameroon 1455

Qatar 1442

China PR 1414

Burkina Faso 1407

Netherlands def.

Argentina

Sweden def.

Tunisia

Spain def.

USA

Belgium def.

Iran

Italy def.

Germany

England def.

France

Brazil def.

Croatia

Portugal def.

Uruguay

Netherlands def.

Sweden

Spain def.

Belgium

Italy def.

England

Portugal def.

Brazil

Spain def.

Netherlands

Portugal def.

Italy

Portugal def.

Spain
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Switzerland 182 Armenia 143 Iceland 124 Wales 125 Andorra 0
1 Italy 222 Scotland 143 Belarus 114 Rep. of Ireland 95 Malta 0
1 Serbia 212 Croatia 183 Estonia 124 Albania 95 Liechtenstein 0
1 France 212 Sweden 163 Slovenia 114 Bulgaria 95 Gibraltar 0
1 Spain 212 Israel 163 Austria 154 Northern Ireland 75 Lithuania 0
1 Belgium 212 Russia 183 Greece 124 Georgia 95 Latvia 0
1 England 202 Romania 143 Poland 134 North Macedonia 95 San Marino 1
1 Netherlands 182 Turkey 173 Norway 174 Cyprus 35 Azerbaijan 3
1 Portugal 242 Czech Republic 153 Slovakia 124 Kosovo 65 Faroe Islands 3
1 Denmark 242 Ukraine 133 Montenegro 114 Kazakhstan 95 Finland 1
1 Germany 202 Hungary 153 Luxembourg 104 Bosnia & Herzegovina 105 Moldova 0
1 New Zealand 102 Tonga 63 New Caledonia 54 American Samoa 35 Vanuatu 1
1 Samoa 92 Tahiti 53 Papua New Guinea 54 Fiji 55 Solomon Islands 3
1 Brazil 402 Chile 373 Uruguay 344 Argentina 315 Paraguay 286 Peru 277 Ecuador 228 Colombia 169 Venezuela 1510 Bolivia 5
1 Mexico 402 Honduras 333 Suriname 234 Curaçao 195 Puerto Rico 146 Grenada 127 Cuba 98 US Virgin Isl. 9
1 Costa Rica 382 El Salvador 343 Belize 234 Montserrat 165 Trinidad & Tobago 166 Dominican Republic 167 St. Kitts and Nevis 98 Cayman Islands 6
1 Canada 342 Jamaica 333 Antigua & Barbuda 244 Guatemala 205 Bermuda 196 Dominica 187 British Virgin Isl. 68 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 5
1 USA 372 Panama 303 Haiti 264 Barbados 185 Nicaragua 176 St. Lucia 137 Guyana 128 Anguilla 1
1 Algeria 132 Comoros 83 Cabo Verde 74 Angola 5
1 Ghana 152 Madagascar 133 Equatorial Guinea 44 Mauritius 3
1 Gabon 152 Nigeria 133 Sierra Leone 74 Somalia 0
1 Kenya 142 Congo DR 103 Tanzania 64 Mozambique 4
1 Egypt 112 Niger 93 Zambia 84 Botswana 4
1 Senegal 152 Uganda 103 Libya 54 Liberia 3
1 Mali 132 Congo 103 Rwanda 64 Sudan 5
1 Burkina Faso 102 South Africa 93 Malawi 84 Burundi 6
1 Côte d'Ivoire 182 Mauritania 103 Lesotho 54 Togo 1
1 Cameroon 132 Guinea 113 Zimbabwe 84 Ethiopia 1
1 Morocco 162 Guinea-Bissau 83 Gambia 74 Central African Republic 2
1 Tunisia 152 Benin 83 Namibia 54 Eswatini 5
1 Iran 222 Jordan 183 UAE 174 India 165 Chinese Taipei 86 Hong Kong 3
1 China PR 262 Qatar 203 Afghanistan 154 Kyrgyz Republic 135 Philippines 96 Guam 3
1 Korea Rep. 262 Syria 213 Tajikistan 124 Yemen 105 Bahrain 106 Indonesia 6
1 Japan 252 Palestine 203 Oman 194 Singapore 75 Myanmar 76 Turkmenistan 6
1 Australia 212 Uzbekistan 173 Bhutan 174 Vietnam 155 Thailand 96 Kuwait 4
1 Saudi Arabia 232 Iraq 223 Korea DPR 174 Lebanon 135 Maldives 56 Cambodia 3
OFC Final

New Zealand def.

Tonga
Intercontinental Playoffs

UAE def.

Wales

Nigeria def.

Tonga

UAE def.

Haiti

Nigeria def.

Colombia