64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1855
Argentina 1848
France 1792
England 1791
Brazil 1771
Italy 1740
Spain 1717
Germany 1694
Colombia 1688
Portugal 1678
Denmark 1678
USA 1648
Netherlands 1645
Mexico 1643
Croatia 1642
Sweden 1623
Pot 2 & ranking points
Iran 1599
Switzerland 1596
Japan 1576
Senegal 1565
Poland 1559
Uruguay 1556
Ukraine 1553
Korea Rep. 1545
Tunisia 1541
Austria 1539
Serbia 1536
Morocco 1534
Algeria 1529
Chile 1522
Czech Republic 1506
Nigeria 1502
Pot 3 & ranking points
Ecuador 1500
Canada 1498
Hungary 1493
Scotland 1492
Egypt 1475
Finland 1473
Saudi Arabia 1466
Turkey 1463
Australia 1457
Qatar 1454
Mali 1451
Cameroon 1449
Rep. of Ireland 1445
Greece 1444
Côte d'Ivoire 1443
Costa Rica 1441
Pot 4 & ranking points
Ghana 1429
Panama 1421
Burkina Faso 1399
Jamaica 1388
Honduras 1387
China PR 1383
Congo DR 1373
Bolivia 1363
El Salvador 1344
UAE 1339
Syria 1310
Bahrain 1293
Lebanon 1245
Guinea-Bissau 1215
New Zealand 1211
Philippines 1174
Group 1
1USA 7
2Czech Republic 4
4China PR 3
3Cameroon 2
Avg. Ranking 1497
Group 2
1Italy 9
2Poland 4
3Australia 4
4Guinea-Bissau 0
Avg. Ranking 1493
Group 3
2Switzerland 9
3Hungary 6
1Mexico 3
4Ghana 0
Avg. Ranking 1540
Group 4
1England 9
3Canada 6
2Uruguay 3
4Syria 0
Avg. Ranking 1539
Group 5
1Germany 6
4Burkina Faso 5
2Ukraine 4
3Qatar 1
Avg. Ranking 1525
Group 6
1Spain 7
4Panama 6
3Mali 4
2Iran 0
Avg. Ranking 1547
Group 7
4Jamaica 7
1Sweden 5
2Chile 4
3Rep. of Ireland 0
Avg. Ranking 1494
Group 8
3Saudi Arabia 7
1Colombia 5
2Tunisia 4
4New Zealand 0
Avg. Ranking 1476
Group 9
1Croatia 6
3Costa Rica 6
4Congo DR 3
2Japan 3
Avg. Ranking 1508
Group 10
1Brazil 9
2Korea Rep. 4
3Turkey 4
4El Salvador 0
Avg. Ranking 1531
Group 11
2Serbia 9
1France 6
3Côte d'Ivoire 3
4Lebanon 0
Avg. Ranking 1504
Group 12
1Netherlands 9
2Morocco 6
4UAE 3
3Greece 0
Avg. Ranking 1490
Group 13
1Belgium 6
2Algeria 4
3Scotland 4
4Bolivia 3
Avg. Ranking 1560
Group 14
2Senegal 9
1Argentina 6
4Bahrain 1
3Finland 1
Avg. Ranking 1545
Group 15
1Denmark 9
3Ecuador 4
2Nigeria 2
4Honduras 1
Avg. Ranking 1517
Group 16
1Portugal 9
2Austria 6
3Egypt 3
4Philippines 0
Avg. Ranking 1467
Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1844
Argentina 1837
England 1808
Brazil 1788
France 1782
Italy 1758
Spain 1726
Denmark 1700
Pot 2 & ranking points
Portugal 1698
Germany 1692
Colombia 1683
Netherlands 1668
USA 1659
Croatia 1641
Switzerland 1627
Sweden 1624
Pot 3 & ranking points
Senegal 1599
Serbia 1569
Poland 1553
Austria 1545
Korea Rep. 1544
Morocco 1542
Algeria 1530
Canada 1513
Pot 4 & ranking points
Hungary 1510
Czech Republic 1506
Ecuador 1502
Saudi Arabia 1492
Costa Rica 1459
Panama 1445
Jamaica 1423
Burkina Faso 1421
Group 1
1England 7
2Croatia 6
4Costa Rica 3
3Serbia 1
Avg. Ranking 1619
Group 2
2Sweden 9
1Spain 6
4Burkina Faso 3
3Algeria 0
Avg. Ranking 1575
Group 3
2Netherlands 7
1Brazil 4
4Czech Republic 4
3Canada 1
Avg. Ranking 1619
Group 4
1Argentina 7
2Colombia 7
3Korea Rep. 1
4Hungary 1
Avg. Ranking 1643
Group 5
1Italy 7
2Portugal 7
3Poland 3
4Jamaica 0
Avg. Ranking 1608
Group 6
1Denmark 9
2USA 4
3Senegal 3
4Saudi Arabia 1
Avg. Ranking 1613
Group 7
2Germany 9
1France 6
4Panama 3
3Austria 0
Avg. Ranking 1616
Group 8
1Belgium 9
4Ecuador 4
3Morocco 3
2Switzerland 1
Avg. Ranking 1629
Spain def. England
Colombia def. Netherlands
USA def. Italy
Germany def. Ecuador
Croatia def. Sweden
Argentina def. Brazil
Portugal def. Denmark
Belgium def. France
Colombia def. Spain
Germany def. USA
Croatia def. Argentina
Belgium def. Portugal
Germany def. Colombia
Belgium def. Croatia
Belgium def. Germany
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Italy 18
2 Greece 15
3 North Macedonia 14
4 Russia 8
5 Andorra 1
1 France 20
2 Hungary 16
3 Albania 13
4 Bulgaria 5
5 Kazakhstan 2
1 Denmark 21
2 Sweden 21
3 Slovenia 9
4 Georgia 7
5 Azerbaijan 1
1 Finland 20
2 Turkey 13
3 Luxembourg 10
4 Switzerland 10
5 Lithuania 4
1 Scotland 18
2 Netherlands 18
3 Iceland 18
4 Belarus 4
5 Gibraltar 1
1 Spain 20
2 Poland 18
3 Norway 10
4 Cyprus 7
5 San Marino 1
1 Germany 24
2 Rep. of Ireland 13
3 Wales 12
4 Armenia 7
5 Malta 2
1 Portugal 21
2 Ukraine 18
3 Northern Ireland 15
4 Latvia 4
5 Estonia 1
1 Croatia 21
2 Austria 19
3 Romania 13
4 Kosovo 2
5 Liechtenstein 2
1 Belgium 24
2 Czech Republic 12
3 Israel 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8
5 Faroe Islands 1
1 England 24
2 Serbia 13
3 Montenegro 12
4 Slovakia 6
5 Moldova 1
1 New Zealand 12
2 American Samoa 6
3 New Caledonia 4
4 Fiji 4
5 Tonga 3
1 Samoa 7
2 Solomon Islands 6
3 Vanuatu 6
4 Papua New Guinea 3
5 Tahiti 2
1 Argentina 50
2 Colombia 38
3 Brazil 32
4 Ecuador 27
5 Chile 21
6 Uruguay 21
7 Bolivia 20
8 Venezuela 16
9 Peru 12
10 Paraguay 10
1 Mexico 37
2 El Salvador 28
3 Curaçao 27
4 Dominican Republic 19
5 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 18
6 Nicaragua 15
7 St. Lucia 10
8 US Virgin Isl. 7
1 USA 37
2 Jamaica 28
3 Guatemala 24
4 Barbados 19
5 Suriname 17
6 Cuba 15
7 Anguilla 14
8 Belize 8
1 Panama 35
2 Costa Rica 32
3 Haiti 20
4 Antigua & Barbuda 20
5 Grenada 15
6 Puerto Rico 12
7 Cayman Islands 12
8 Montserrat 11
1 Canada 39
2 Honduras 37
3 Trinidad & Tobago 23
4 Bermuda 17
5 St. Kitts and Nevis 15
6 Guyana 15
7 British Virgin Isl. 12
8 Dominica 2
1 Algeria 16
2 Gabon 9
3 Niger 6
4 Chad 4
1 Tunisia 18
2 Malawi 10
3 Eswatini 3
4 Madagascar 2
1 Cameroon 15
2 Cabo Verde 11
3 Namibia 5
4 Djibouti 2
1 Egypt 16
2 Angola 8
3 Mauritania 7
4 Comoros 2
1 Senegal 15
2 Libya 7
3 Uganda 6
4 Botswana 5
1 Mali 16
2 Liberia 7
3 Central African Republic 7
4 Zambia 3
1 Burkina Faso 13
2 Kenya 13
3 Sierra Leone 8
4 São Tomé & Príncipe 0
1 Morocco 15
2 Guinea 8
3 Sudan 6
4 Rwanda 4
1 Congo DR 11
2 Burundi 8
3 Equatorial Guinea 7
4 Benin 7
1 Guinea-Bissau 13
2 Ghana 12
3 Zimbabwe 6
4 Tanzania 4
1 Côte d'Ivoire 16
2 Congo 9
3 Ethiopia 5
4 Togo 4
1 Nigeria 16
2 South Africa 10
3 Mozambique 9
8 South Sudan 0
1 Saudi Arabia 26
2 Philippines 18
3 Vietnam 13
4 Guam 12
5 Iraq 11
6 Yemen 4
1 Korea Rep. 28
2 Bahrain 22
3 Oman 18
4 India 12
5 Maldives 7
6 Sri Lanka 0
1 China PR 25
2 Qatar 23
3 Kyrgyz Republic 17
4 Kuwait 10
5 Korea DPR 7
6 Nepal 4
1 Syria 22
2 Australia 19
3 Chinese Taipei 13
4 Tajikistan 13
5 Jordan 12
6 Afghanistan 3
1 Japan 30
2 Lebanon 18
3 Uzbekistan 16
4 Thailand 15
5 Hong Kong 8
6 Cambodia 1
1 Iran 30
2 UAE 18
3 Palestine 16
4 Turkmenistan 12
5 Myanmar 8
6 Macau 4
OFC Final
New Zealand def. American Samoa
Intercontinental Playoffs
Switzerland def. Curaçao
Oman def. American Samoa
Switzerland def. Venezuela
Ghana def. Oman