64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1879
Belgium 1851
Argentina 1820
France 1815
England 1779
Italy 1753
Denmark 1677
Croatia 1666
Mexico 1665
Spain 1664
Switzerland 1662
Germany 1658
USA 1657
Netherlands 1653
Uruguay 1630
Sweden 1600
Pot 2 & ranking points
Iran 1600
Ukraine 1581
Senegal 1577
Japan 1573
Chile 1567
Wales 1566
Serbia 1564
Korea Rep. 1556
Tunisia 1540
Australia 1539
Algeria 1537
Peru 1536
Poland 1533
Morocco 1520
Norway 1519
Nigeria 1512
Pot 3 & ranking points
Austria 1509
Czech Republic 1506
Scotland 1488
Canada 1475
Turkey 1472
Qatar 1464
Romania 1458
Egypt 1457
Mali 1450
Paraguay 1448
Ghana 1437
Panama 1435
Rep. of Ireland 1434
Ecuador 1431
Venezuela 1424
Côte d'Ivoire 1422
Pot 4 & ranking points
Jamaica 1409
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1396
China PR 1373
Iraq 1365
Oman 1347
Curaçao 1343
Cabo Verde 1334
Syria 1294
Uzbekistan 1284
Madagascar 1242
Mauritania 1228
Trinidad & Tobago 1226
New Zealand 1200
Thailand 1193
Guatemala 1183
Hong Kong 1114
Group 1
1Brazil 9
4Jamaica 6
2Australia 3
3Mali 0
Avg. Ranking 1569
Group 2
1Italy 9
2Iran 4
3Rep. of Ireland 3
4Madagascar 1
Avg. Ranking 1507
Group 3
1Netherlands 5
3Czech Republic 5
2Nigeria 4
4Trinidad & Tobago 1
Avg. Ranking 1474
Group 4
1Sweden 6
2Peru 4
4China PR 4
3Panama 3
Avg. Ranking 1486
Group 5
1Uruguay 7
2Ukraine 5
4Bosnia & Herzegovina 3
3Côte d'Ivoire 1
Avg. Ranking 1507
Group 6
2Wales 9
3Ecuador 3
1Germany 3
4Iraq 3
Avg. Ranking 1505
Group 7
1Spain 6
4Curaçao 6
3Egypt 6
2Serbia 0
Avg. Ranking 1507
Group 8
1France 9
3Canada 4
2Senegal 4
4Thailand 0
Avg. Ranking 1515
Group 9
3Venezuela 7
2Algeria 5
4Syria 3
1Denmark 1
Avg. Ranking 1483
Group 10
1Belgium 9
2Tunisia 4
3Austria 4
4Hong Kong 0
Avg. Ranking 1504
Group 11
2Japan 5
3Ghana 5
1Mexico 5
4New Zealand 0
Avg. Ranking 1469
Group 12
3Romania 6
4Oman 6
1Switzerland 3
2Chile 3
Avg. Ranking 1509
Group 13
2Norway 7
1England 7
4Mauritania 3
3Qatar 0
Avg. Ranking 1498
Group 14
2Poland 7
3Paraguay 5
1Croatia 4
4Guatemala 0
Avg. Ranking 1458
Group 15
2Morocco 9
1USA 6
3Scotland 3
4Uzbekistan 0
Avg. Ranking 1487
Group 16
1Argentina 9
2Korea Rep. 4
3Turkey 3
4Cabo Verde 1
Avg. Ranking 1545
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1891
Belgium 1864
Argentina 1834
France 1830
England 1782
Italy 1770
Spain 1664
USA 1654
Pot 2 & ranking points
Netherlands 1650
Uruguay 1643
Sweden 1603
Wales 1597
Iran 1593
Ukraine 1587
Japan 1577
Korea Rep. 1555
Pot 3 & ranking points
Morocco 1554
Poland 1552
Algeria 1544
Norway 1542
Tunisia 1538
Peru 1531
Czech Republic 1515
Canada 1479
Pot 4 & ranking points
Romania 1475
Paraguay 1461
Venezuela 1454
Ghana 1452
Jamaica 1434
Ecuador 1426
Oman 1372
Curaçao 1370
Group 1
2Sweden 7
1Belgium 6
3Canada 3
4Venezuela 1
Avg. Ranking 1600
Group 2
4Paraguay 5
2Korea Rep. 4
1England 3
3Poland 2
Avg. Ranking 1587
Group 3
1Italy 5
3Peru 4
2Netherlands 4
4Ghana 2
Avg. Ranking 1601
Group 4
1Spain 9
2Iran 6
3Morocco 3
4Romania 0
Avg. Ranking 1571
Group 5
3Tunisia 7
1USA 5
2Japan 4
4Ecuador 0
Avg. Ranking 1549
Group 6
3Algeria 6
1France 6
2Uruguay 6
4Jamaica 0
Avg. Ranking 1613
Group 7
3Czech Republic 7
2Wales 5
1Argentina 4
4Oman 0
Avg. Ranking 1580
Group 8
1Brazil 9
2Ukraine 6
4Curaçao 1
3Norway 1
Avg. Ranking 1597
Korea Rep. def. Sweden
Iran def. Italy
France def. Tunisia
Ukraine def. Czech Republic
Belgium def. Paraguay
Spain def. Peru
Algeria def. USA
Wales def. Brazil
Korea Rep. def. Iran
France def. Ukraine
Belgium def. Spain
Wales def. Algeria
France def. Korea Rep.
Belgium def. Wales
Belgium def. France
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Ukraine 21
2 Romania 13
3 Israel 10
4 Portugal 9
5 Faroe Islands 6
1 France 24
2 Rep. of Ireland 12
3 Hungary 9
4 Georgia 9
5 Andorra 6
1 Belgium 24
2 Scotland 16
3 Greece 13
4 Moldova 3
5 Kosovo 3
1 Denmark 20
2 Wales 14
3 Slovenia 12
4 Kazakhstan 6
5 Armenia 3
1 Germany 19
2 Czech Republic 14
3 Bulgaria 12
4 Iceland 9
5 Gibraltar 1
1 Italy 21
2 Turkey 13
3 Montenegro 11
4 Slovakia 9
5 Lithuania 2
1 Switzerland 21
2 Poland 16
3 Northern Ireland 10
4 Belarus 9
5 Malta 3
1 Norway 22
2 Austria 15
3 Spain 13
4 Estonia 6
5 Liechtenstein 3
1 Netherlands 18
2 Serbia 18
3 North Macedonia 16
4 Finland 7
5 San Marino 0
1 Croatia 24
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 13
3 Russia 10
4 Latvia 6
5 Luxembourg 5
1 England 22
2 Sweden 18
3 Albania 13
4 Cyprus 3
5 Azerbaijan 3
1 New Zealand 10
2 Fiji 7
3 New Caledonia 5
4 Samoa 3
5 Papua New Guinea 2
1 Solomon Islands 8
2 American Samoa 5
3 Vanuatu 5
4 Tahiti 5
5 Tonga 3
1 Brazil 47
2 Argentina 46
3 Uruguay 32
4 Chile 27
5 Peru 24
6 Ecuador 18
7 Paraguay 18
8 Venezuela 18
9 Colombia 14
10 Bolivia 8
1 USA 38
2 Trinidad & Tobago 26
3 El Salvador 25
4 Montserrat 18
5 Barbados 15
6 Nicaragua 13
7 British Virgin Isl. 11
8 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 11
1 Mexico 40
2 Panama 37
3 Haiti 30
4 St. Lucia 21
5 Grenada 15
6 Suriname 11
7 US Virgin Isl. 7
8 Puerto Rico 4
1 Canada 36
2 Guatemala 27
3 Honduras 27
4 Antigua & Barbuda 25
5 Dominican Republic 17
6 Belize 13
7 Cayman Islands 6
8 Dominica 6
1 Jamaica 31
2 Curaçao 31
3 Costa Rica 31
4 St. Kitts and Nevis 23
5 Guyana 13
6 Turks & Caicos Isl. 11
7 Bermuda 10
8 Cuba 8
1 Tunisia 18
2 Mozambique 8
3 South Sudan 5
4 Congo 2
1 Nigeria 18
2 Comoros 7
3 Central African Republic 7
4 Benin 3
1 Algeria 18
2 Libya 6
3 Seychelles 6
4 Kenya 6
1 Mali 16
2 Gabon 10
3 Djibouti 4
4 Equatorial Guinea 4
1 Ghana 15
2 Burundi 7
3 Malawi 7
4 Guinea-Bissau 5
1 Cabo Verde 10
2 Congo DR 10
3 Botswana 7
4 Angola 7
1 Mauritania 13
2 Burkina Faso 12
3 Tanzania 6
4 Zimbabwe 4
1 Côte d'Ivoire 13
2 Uganda 12
3 Sudan 5
4 Lesotho 4
1 Egypt 13
2 South Africa 11
3 Liberia 5
4 Sierra Leone 4
1 Madagascar 13
2 Cameroon 10
3 Namibia 7
4 Gambia 4
1 Senegal 16
2 Niger 10
3 Guinea 9
4 Ethiopia 0
1 Morocco 13
2 Zambia 10
3 Rwanda 6
4 Togo 3
1 Australia 30
2 China PR 24
3 Philippines 18
4 Nepal 6
5 Jordan 6
6 Maldives 6
1 Iran 30
2 Thailand 19
3 UAE 14
4 Afghanistan 11
5 Palestine 6
6 Timor-Leste 5
1 Qatar 25
2 Iraq 23
3 Bahrain 14
4 Korea DPR 11
5 Chinese Taipei 6
6 Bhutan 3
1 Korea Rep. 30
2 Oman 24
3 India 15
4 Kyrgyz Republic 10
5 Myanmar 10
6 Guam 0
1 Japan 30
2 Syria 20
3 Kuwait 13
4 Vietnam 11
5 Tajikistan 7
6 Brunei 5
1 Uzbekistan 19
2 Hong Kong 19
3 Saudi Arabia 18
4 Turkmenistan 14
5 Lebanon 9
6 Sri Lanka 6
OFC Final
New Zealand def. Fiji
Intercontinental Playoffs
Venezuela def. Fiji
Saudi Arabia def. Costa Rica
Venezuela def. Cameroon
Spain def. Saudi Arabia