64-Team World Cup Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points
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Brazil 1879
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Belgium 1851
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Argentina 1820
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France 1815
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England 1779
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Italy 1753
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Denmark 1677
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Croatia 1666
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Mexico 1665
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Spain 1664
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Switzerland 1662
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Germany 1658
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USA 1657
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Netherlands 1653
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Uruguay 1630
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Sweden 1600
Pot 2 & ranking points
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Iran 1600
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Ukraine 1581
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Senegal 1577
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Japan 1573
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Chile 1567
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Wales 1566
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Serbia 1564
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Korea Rep. 1556
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Tunisia 1540
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Australia 1539
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Algeria 1537
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Peru 1536
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Poland 1533
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Morocco 1520
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Norway 1519
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Nigeria 1512
Pot 3 & ranking points
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Austria 1509
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Czech Republic 1506
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Scotland 1488
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Canada 1475
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Turkey 1472
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Qatar 1464
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Romania 1458
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Egypt 1457
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Mali 1450
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Paraguay 1448
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Ghana 1437
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Panama 1435
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Rep. of Ireland 1434
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Ecuador 1431
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Venezuela 1424
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Côte d'Ivoire 1422
Pot 4 & ranking points
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Jamaica 1409
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Bosnia & Herzegovina 1396
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China PR 1373
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Iraq 1365
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Oman 1347
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Curaçao 1343
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Cabo Verde 1334
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Syria 1294
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Uzbekistan 1284
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Madagascar 1242
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Mauritania 1228
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Trinidad & Tobago 1226
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New Zealand 1200
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Thailand 1193
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Guatemala 1183
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Hong Kong 1114
Pot 1 & ranking points
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Brazil 1891
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Belgium 1864
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Argentina 1834
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France 1830
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England 1782
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Italy 1770
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Spain 1664
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USA 1654
Pot 2 & ranking points
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Netherlands 1650
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Uruguay 1643
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Sweden 1603
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Wales 1597
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Iran 1593
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Ukraine 1587
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Japan 1577
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Korea Rep. 1555
Pot 3 & ranking points
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Morocco 1554
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Poland 1552
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Algeria 1544
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Norway 1542
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Tunisia 1538
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Peru 1531
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Czech Republic 1515
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Canada 1479
Pot 4 & ranking points
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Romania 1475
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Paraguay 1461
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Venezuela 1454
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Ghana 1452
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Jamaica 1434
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Ecuador 1426
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Oman 1372
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Curaçao 1370
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Korea Rep. def.
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Sweden
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Iran def.
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Italy
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France def.
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Tunisia
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Ukraine def.
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Czech Republic
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Belgium def.
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Paraguay
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Spain def.
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Peru
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Algeria def.
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USA
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Wales def.
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Brazil
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Korea Rep. def.
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Iran
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France def.
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Ukraine
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Belgium def.
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Spain
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Wales def.
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Algeria
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France def.
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Korea Rep.
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Belgium def.
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Wales
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Belgium def.
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France
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)
The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.
The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Ukraine 212 Romania 133 Israel 104 Portugal 95 Faroe Islands 6
1 France 242 Rep. of Ireland 123 Hungary 94 Georgia 95 Andorra 6
1 Belgium 242 Scotland 163 Greece 134 Moldova 35 Kosovo 3
1 Denmark 202 Wales 143 Slovenia 124 Kazakhstan 65 Armenia 3
1 Germany 192 Czech Republic 143 Bulgaria 124 Iceland 95 Gibraltar 1
1 Italy 212 Turkey 133 Montenegro 114 Slovakia 95 Lithuania 2
1 Switzerland 212 Poland 163 Northern Ireland 104 Belarus 95 Malta 3
1 Norway 222 Austria 153 Spain 134 Estonia 65 Liechtenstein 3
1 Netherlands 182 Serbia 183 North Macedonia 164 Finland 75 San Marino 0
1 Croatia 242 Bosnia & Herzegovina 133 Russia 104 Latvia 65 Luxembourg 5
1 England 222 Sweden 183 Albania 134 Cyprus 35 Azerbaijan 3
1 New Zealand 102 Fiji 73 New Caledonia 54 Samoa 35 Papua New Guinea 2
1 Solomon Islands 82 American Samoa 53 Vanuatu 54 Tahiti 55 Tonga 3
1 Brazil 472 Argentina 463 Uruguay 324 Chile 275 Peru 246 Ecuador 187 Paraguay 188 Venezuela 189 Colombia 1410 Bolivia 8
1 USA 382 Trinidad & Tobago 263 El Salvador 254 Montserrat 185 Barbados 156 Nicaragua 137 British Virgin Isl. 118 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 11
1 Mexico 402 Panama 373 Haiti 304 St. Lucia 215 Grenada 156 Suriname 117 US Virgin Isl. 78 Puerto Rico 4
1 Canada 362 Guatemala 273 Honduras 274 Antigua & Barbuda 255 Dominican Republic 176 Belize 137 Cayman Islands 68 Dominica 6
1 Jamaica 312 Curaçao 313 Costa Rica 314 St. Kitts and Nevis 235 Guyana 136 Turks & Caicos Isl. 117 Bermuda 108 Cuba 8
1 Tunisia 182 Mozambique 83 South Sudan 54 Congo 2
1 Nigeria 182 Comoros 73 Central African Republic 74 Benin 3
1 Algeria 182 Libya 63 Seychelles 64 Kenya 6
1 Mali 162 Gabon 103 Djibouti 44 Equatorial Guinea 4
1 Ghana 152 Burundi 73 Malawi 74 Guinea-Bissau 5
1 Cabo Verde 102 Congo DR 103 Botswana 74 Angola 7
1 Mauritania 132 Burkina Faso 123 Tanzania 64 Zimbabwe 4
1 Côte d'Ivoire 132 Uganda 123 Sudan 54 Lesotho 4
1 Egypt 132 South Africa 113 Liberia 54 Sierra Leone 4
1 Madagascar 132 Cameroon 103 Namibia 74 Gambia 4
1 Senegal 162 Niger 103 Guinea 94 Ethiopia 0
1 Morocco 132 Zambia 103 Rwanda 64 Togo 3
1 Australia 302 China PR 243 Philippines 184 Nepal 65 Jordan 66 Maldives 6
1 Iran 302 Thailand 193 UAE 144 Afghanistan 115 Palestine 66 Timor-Leste 5
1 Qatar 252 Iraq 233 Bahrain 144 Korea DPR 115 Chinese Taipei 66 Bhutan 3
1 Korea Rep. 302 Oman 243 India 154 Kyrgyz Republic 105 Myanmar 106 Guam 0
1 Japan 302 Syria 203 Kuwait 134 Vietnam 115 Tajikistan 76 Brunei 5
1 Uzbekistan 192 Hong Kong 193 Saudi Arabia 184 Turkmenistan 145 Lebanon 96 Sri Lanka 6
OFC Final
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New Zealand def.
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Fiji
Intercontinental Playoffs
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Venezuela def.
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Fiji
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Saudi Arabia def.
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Costa Rica
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Venezuela def.
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Cameroon
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Spain def.
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Saudi Arabia