64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1833
Brazil 1824
France 1803
Argentina 1783
Italy 1777
England 1752
Spain 1724
Germany 1691
Portugal 1690
Denmark 1669
Netherlands 1657
Croatia 1656
Mexico 1652
USA 1650
Switzerland 1648
Uruguay 1619
Pot 2 & ranking points
Colombia 1605
Sweden 1601
Serbia 1574
Poland 1568
Ukraine 1560
Senegal 1547
Korea Rep. 1543
Morocco 1541
Chile 1529
Tunisia 1528
Russia 1525
Iran 1519
Japan 1517
Czech Republic 1504
Slovakia 1501
Costa Rica 1494
Pot 3 & ranking points
Turkey 1488
Ecuador 1485
Nigeria 1484
Saudi Arabia 1482
Australia 1480
Canada 1464
Rep. of Ireland 1459
Cameroon 1447
Jamaica 1444
Ghana 1442
Iceland 1432
Greece 1431
Venezuela 1426
Panama 1400
Burkina Faso 1399
Bolivia 1378
Pot 4 & ranking points
South Africa 1375
UAE 1371
Congo DR 1370
El Salvador 1369
Cabo Verde 1364
Honduras 1361
Iraq 1359
China PR 1350
Oman 1348
Guinea 1346
Uzbekistan 1345
Curaçao 1324
Jordan 1310
Syria 1286
New Zealand 1215
Malawi 1159
Group 1
2Russia 7
4Honduras 5
1Netherlands 3
3Venezuela 1
Avg. Ranking 1492
Group 2
1Argentina 6
2Poland 6
4UAE 3
3Nigeria 3
Avg. Ranking 1551
Group 3
1Belgium 9
2Morocco 6
4Iraq 3
3Bolivia 0
Avg. Ranking 1528
Group 4
1Spain 7
3Turkey 4
4Uzbekistan 3
2Senegal 2
Avg. Ranking 1526
Group 5
2Czech Republic 9
4China PR 3
3Panama 3
1Switzerland 3
Avg. Ranking 1475
Group 6
3Greece 6
2Sweden 5
1Uruguay 4
4South Africa 1
Avg. Ranking 1506
Group 7
4Curaçao 7
1Croatia 6
2Iran 4
3Cameroon 0
Avg. Ranking 1487
Group 8
3Rep. of Ireland 7
2Colombia 6
1Mexico 4
4Jordan 0
Avg. Ranking 1506
Group 9
3Jamaica 7
2Korea Rep. 6
1Portugal 4
4Cabo Verde 0
Avg. Ranking 1510
Group 10
1USA 9
4Congo DR 4
2Slovakia 2
3Saudi Arabia 1
Avg. Ranking 1501
Group 11
2Tunisia 7
1Germany 5
4El Salvador 4
3Ecuador 0
Avg. Ranking 1518
Group 12
1Denmark 9
3Ghana 6
2Costa Rica 3
4Oman 0
Avg. Ranking 1488
Group 13
2Serbia 9
1France 6
3Australia 3
4Malawi 0
Avg. Ranking 1504
Group 14
1Italy 6
3Iceland 5
4Guinea 4
2Chile 1
Avg. Ranking 1521
Group 15
1England 9
4Syria 6
2Ukraine 3
3Burkina Faso 0
Avg. Ranking 1499
Group 16
1Brazil 9
3Canada 4
2Japan 2
4New Zealand 1
Avg. Ranking 1505
Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1846
Brazil 1837
France 1793
Argentina 1775
Italy 1769
England 1768
Spain 1731
Denmark 1690
Pot 2 & ranking points
Germany 1688
USA 1673
Croatia 1653
Colombia 1608
Serbia 1605
Sweden 1605
Poland 1579
Korea Rep. 1552
Pot 3 & ranking points
Tunisia 1552
Morocco 1551
Russia 1546
Czech Republic 1537
Turkey 1492
Rep. of Ireland 1488
Jamaica 1475
Canada 1467
Pot 4 & ranking points
Ghana 1459
Iceland 1451
Greece 1449
Honduras 1384
Congo DR 1382
Curaçao 1363
China PR 1349
Syria 1316
Group 1
1France 9
3Czech Republic 4
2Korea Rep. 2
4Iceland 1
Avg. Ranking 1583
Group 2
1Denmark 7
2Serbia 5
3Jamaica 2
4Curaçao 1
Avg. Ranking 1533
Group 3
1Italy 9
2Croatia 6
3Rep. of Ireland 3
4Congo DR 0
Avg. Ranking 1573
Group 4
1Argentina 9
2Germany 6
3Tunisia 3
4China PR 0
Avg. Ranking 1591
Group 5
1Spain 9
4Honduras 4
3Turkey 3
2Sweden 1
Avg. Ranking 1553
Group 6
1Brazil 5
2Poland 5
4Greece 2
3Morocco 2
Avg. Ranking 1604
Group 7
2USA 7
1England 4
4Syria 3
3Canada 3
Avg. Ranking 1556
Group 8
1Belgium 9
2Colombia 4
4Ghana 4
3Russia 0
Avg. Ranking 1615
Serbia def. France
Italy def. Germany
Spain def. Poland
USA def. Colombia
Denmark def. Czech Republic
Argentina def. Croatia
Brazil def. Honduras
England def. Belgium
Italy def. Serbia
USA def. Spain
Denmark def. Argentina
England def. Brazil
Italy def. USA
England def. Denmark
England def. Italy
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 France 22
2 Slovakia 19
3 Austria 8
4 Georgia 8
5 San Marino 0
1 Portugal 22
2 Serbia 19
3 Albania 10
4 Kosovo 4
5 Azerbaijan 3
1 Belgium 20
2 Ukraine 17
3 Norway 9
4 Andorra 7
5 Luxembourg 3
1 Italy 24
2 Russia 18
3 Bulgaria 10
4 Northern Ireland 7
5 Latvia 0
1 Spain 21
2 Sweden 18
3 Montenegro 9
4 Slovenia 5
5 Lithuania 4
1 Denmark 21
2 Rep. of Ireland 16
3 Hungary 10
4 Estonia 7
5 Gibraltar 4
1 Germany 24
2 Czech Republic 15
3 Belarus 12
4 Finland 9
5 Malta 0
1 Croatia 22
2 Turkey 16
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8
4 Israel 7
5 Faroe Islands 4
1 Poland 19
2 Netherlands 18
3 Romania 13
4 North Macedonia 9
5 Kazakhstan 0
1 Switzerland 19
2 Greece 14
3 Scotland 13
4 Cyprus 12
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 England 19
2 Iceland 17
3 Wales 14
4 Armenia 7
5 Moldova 0
1 Vanuatu 7
2 Solomon Islands 7
3 Samoa 5
4 American Samoa 4
5 Tahiti 4
1 New Zealand 12
2 New Caledonia 6
3 Fiji 5
4 Papua New Guinea 2
5 Tonga 2
1 Argentina 40
2 Brazil 40
3 Uruguay 30
4 Colombia 28
5 Chile 23
6 Ecuador 23
7 Venezuela 20
8 Bolivia 17
9 Peru 15
10 Paraguay 12
1 Honduras 32
2 Curaçao 31
3 Canada 31
4 Nicaragua 23
5 Montserrat 20
6 Guyana 9
7 Bermuda 9
8 Aruba 4
1 Costa Rica 40
2 El Salvador 32
3 Trinidad & Tobago 27
4 Grenada 16
5 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 16
6 Cuba 11
7 Antigua & Barbuda 11
8 Bahamas 6
1 USA 37
2 Panama 33
3 Haiti 25
4 St. Lucia 19
5 Dominican Republic 18
6 Cayman Islands 14
7 Belize 11
8 Suriname 6
1 Mexico 39
2 Jamaica 36
3 Guatemala 26
4 St. Kitts and Nevis 20
5 Barbados 13
6 Puerto Rico 12
7 Dominica 9
8 British Virgin Isl. 5
1 Cameroon 15
2 Sudan 13
3 Mauritania 4
4 Ethiopia 3
1 Congo DR 11
2 Central African Republic 9
3 Benin 6
4 Burundi 5
1 Tunisia 16
2 Zambia 11
3 Togo 5
4 South Sudan 1
1 Morocco 16
2 Congo 10
3 Sierra Leone 6
4 Mauritius 3
1 Guinea 16
2 Côte d'Ivoire 8
3 Comoros 7
4 Zimbabwe 3
1 South Africa 13
2 Egypt 9
3 Niger 9
4 Rwanda 4
1 Nigeria 15
2 Uganda 12
3 Libya 6
4 Eritrea 3
1 Cabo Verde 13
2 Algeria 10
3 Mozambique 7
4 Lesotho 4
1 Burkina Faso 12
2 Guinea-Bissau 10
3 Equatorial Guinea 9
4 Liberia 0
1 Ghana 14
2 Angola 6
3 Madagascar 5
4 Tanzania 5
1 Malawi 11
2 Mali 11
3 Chad 7
4 Gabon 4
1 Senegal 13
2 Namibia 10
3 Kenya 10
4 Djibouti 1
1 Korea Rep. 28
2 Syria 17
3 Bahrain 17
4 Yemen 10
5 Korea DPR 6
6 Laos 5
1 Saudi Arabia 28
2 UAE 22
3 Tajikistan 11
4 Kuwait 10
5 Nepal 8
6 Palestine 6
1 Uzbekistan 26
2 Japan 21
3 Thailand 14
4 Macau 10
5 Lebanon 9
6 Hong Kong 2
1 Iraq 22
2 Iran 19
3 Vietnam 15
4 India 12
5 Malaysia 9
6 Indonesia 8
1 Australia 21
2 China PR 20
3 Kyrgyz Republic 17
4 Singapore 10
5 Afghanistan 7
6 Turkmenistan 5
1 Jordan 23
2 Oman 23
3 Qatar 16
4 Philippines 16
5 Maldives 6
6 Cambodia 3
OFC Final
New Zealand def. New Caledonia
Intercontinental Playoffs
Bolivia def. Qatar
Canada def. Wales
Bolivia def. Algeria
Canada def. New Caledonia