64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Belgium 1846
Brazil 1835
France 1815
Argentina 1814
England 1780
Italy 1742
Spain 1707
Switzerland 1690
Netherlands 1675
Denmark 1671
Germany 1653
Portugal 1644
Uruguay 1635
USA 1634
Croatia 1631
Wales 1611
Pot 2 & ranking points
Sweden 1586
Senegal 1586
Peru 1586
Colombia 1585
Iran 1585
Serbia 1558
Morocco 1557
Ukraine 1546
Austria 1544
Tunisia 1541
Czech Republic 1533
Algeria 1528
Poland 1520
Japan 1514
Nigeria 1514
Australia 1513
Pot 3 & ranking points
Russia 1501
Egypt 1489
Canada 1478
Qatar 1473
Ecuador 1471
Saudi Arabia 1469
Jamaica 1464
Romania 1453
Korea Rep. 1449
Mali 1448
Cameroon 1447
Panama 1438
Northern Ireland 1424
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1418
Congo DR 1416
Burkina Faso 1390
Pot 4 & ranking points
El Salvador 1390
Iraq 1381
Honduras 1372
China PR 1366
Curaçao 1366
UAE 1343
Bolivia 1338
Haiti 1330
Armenia 1310
Syria 1294
Uzbekistan 1290
India 1235
Kenya 1226
New Zealand 1210
Equatorial Guinea 1201
Thailand 1175
Group 1
3Panama 9
1Croatia 6
2Sweden 3
4Thailand 0
Avg. Ranking 1457
Group 2
1Argentina 9
3Qatar 4
2Algeria 3
4Armenia 1
Avg. Ranking 1531
Group 3
1Switzerland 6
3Congo DR 6
2Austria 3
4Syria 3
Avg. Ranking 1486
Group 4
2Peru 9
1USA 6
3Saudi Arabia 3
4Kenya 0
Avg. Ranking 1479
Group 5
1Brazil 9
4El Salvador 4
2Iran 3
3Burkina Faso 1
Avg. Ranking 1550
Group 6
1Italy 7
3Cameroon 4
2Poland 3
4Curaçao 3
Avg. Ranking 1519
Group 7
1Germany 9
3Egypt 6
2Colombia 3
4Haiti 0
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 8
1Denmark 7
3Ecuador 5
4Honduras 3
2Tunisia 1
Avg. Ranking 1514
Group 9
1France 7
2Czech Republic 6
3Mali 4
4Iraq 0
Avg. Ranking 1544
Group 10
1England 6
2Serbia 4
3Korea Rep. 4
4New Zealand 3
Avg. Ranking 1500
Group 11
1Uruguay 7
2Ukraine 4
4India 2
3Romania 2
Avg. Ranking 1467
Group 12
1Netherlands 9
3Bosnia & Herzegovina 4
2Nigeria 3
4Uzbekistan 1
Avg. Ranking 1474
Group 13
2Senegal 7
3Jamaica 6
1Belgium 4
4UAE 0
Avg. Ranking 1560
Group 14
1Wales 9
3Northern Ireland 6
4Bolivia 1
2Japan 1
Avg. Ranking 1472
Group 15
2Morocco 5
3Canada 5
4China PR 4
1Spain 1
Avg. Ranking 1527
Group 16
2Australia 6
3Russia 6
1Portugal 4
4Equatorial Guinea 1
Avg. Ranking 1465
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1849
Argentina 1828
France 1818
England 1770
Italy 1747
Netherlands 1695
Switzerland 1686
Denmark 1682
Pot 2 & ranking points
Germany 1677
Uruguay 1645
Wales 1635
USA 1633
Croatia 1629
Peru 1614
Senegal 1608
Morocco 1567
Pot 3 & ranking points
Serbia 1554
Czech Republic 1546
Ukraine 1540
Australia 1522
Russia 1510
Egypt 1504
Canada 1494
Ecuador 1487
Pot 4 & ranking points
Jamaica 1484
Qatar 1478
Panama 1477
Cameroon 1453
Northern Ireland 1440
Congo DR 1434
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1423
El Salvador 1402
Group 1
1England 9
4Congo DR 6
2Peru 3
3Russia 0
Avg. Ranking 1582
Group 2
1Italy 9
2Croatia 6
3Canada 1
4Cameroon 1
Avg. Ranking 1581
Group 3
1France 9
3Czech Republic 6
4Panama 1
2Senegal 1
Avg. Ranking 1612
Group 4
1Netherlands 7
2USA 7
3Ecuador 3
4Northern Ireland 0
Avg. Ranking 1564
Group 5
1Denmark 7
3Ukraine 5
4Qatar 4
2Uruguay 0
Avg. Ranking 1586
Group 6
1Brazil 9
3Australia 6
4Bosnia & Herzegovina 1
2Morocco 1
Avg. Ranking 1590
Group 7
2Germany 9
1Argentina 4
4El Salvador 3
3Serbia 1
Avg. Ranking 1616
Group 8
2Wales 6
1Switzerland 4
4Jamaica 4
3Egypt 2
Avg. Ranking 1577
Croatia def. England
USA def. France
Denmark def. Australia
Germany def. Switzerland
Italy def. Congo DR
Czech Republic def. Netherlands
Brazil def. Ukraine
Wales def. Argentina
Croatia def. USA
Germany def. Denmark
Italy def. Czech Republic
Brazil def. Wales
Germany def. Croatia
Italy def. Brazil
Germany def. Italy
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 England 22
2 Poland 13
3 Israel 11
4 Norway 9
5 Lithuania 3
1 Spain 18
2 Czech Republic 17
3 Finland 11
4 Bulgaria 9
5 Gibraltar 0
1 Netherlands 20
2 Wales 20
3 Slovenia 12
4 Faroe Islands 6
5 Cyprus 0
1 Germany 19
2 Armenia 18
3 Scotland 9
4 Greece 8
5 Malta 3
1 Belgium 22
2 Serbia 16
3 Montenegro 11
4 Rep. of Ireland 8
5 San Marino 0
1 Denmark 20
2 Romania 14
3 Estonia 13
4 Hungary 10
5 Liechtenstein 0
1 France 24
2 Russia 15
3 Slovakia 13
4 Kosovo 4
5 Azerbaijan 3
1 Switzerland 24
2 Northern Ireland 11
3 Turkey 9
4 North Macedonia 7
5 Kazakhstan 3
1 Austria 19
2 Portugal 16
3 Latvia 11
4 Luxembourg 5
5 Albania 4
1 Italy 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 15
3 Sweden 14
4 Georgia 8
5 Andorra 1
1 Croatia 18
2 Ukraine 17
3 Iceland 14
4 Belarus 4
5 Moldova 2
1 Samoa 8
2 Papua New Guinea 6
3 Tahiti 5
4 Solomon Islands 5
5 Vanuatu 3
1 New Zealand 12
2 Fiji 7
3 American Samoa 5
4 New Caledonia 2
5 Tonga 1
1 Argentina 45
2 Brazil 41
3 Uruguay 33
4 Peru 31
5 Colombia 26
6 Ecuador 23
7 Bolivia 17
8 Paraguay 16
9 Venezuela 14
10 Chile 12
1 Jamaica 37
2 Curaçao 35
3 Mexico 32
4 Nicaragua 24
5 Montserrat 14
6 Dominican Republic 10
7 Anguilla 5
8 Belize 5
1 Panama 38
2 Haiti 35
3 Costa Rica 32
4 Barbados 21
5 Puerto Rico 13
6 Suriname 10
7 Dominica 9
8 British Virgin Isl. 6
1 USA 35
2 Honduras 34
3 Guatemala 22
4 Antigua & Barbuda 22
5 Guyana 16
6 Bermuda 12
7 Cuba 9
8 Cayman Islands 8
1 Canada 35
2 El Salvador 34
3 Trinidad & Tobago 24
4 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 19
5 St. Kitts and Nevis 13
6 Grenada 13
7 St. Lucia 12
8 US Virgin Isl. 4
1 Nigeria 18
2 Lesotho 7
3 Cabo Verde 5
4 Central African Republic 4
1 Algeria 16
2 Guinea-Bissau 10
3 Burundi 4
4 Sudan 4
1 Cameroon 14
2 Guinea 13
3 Libya 6
4 Eritrea 1
1 Egypt 18
2 Gabon 9
3 Ethiopia 6
4 Malawi 3
1 Equatorial Guinea 13
2 Côte d'Ivoire 10
3 Zambia 6
4 Gambia 5
1 Kenya 11
2 Ghana 9
3 Niger 8
4 Eswatini 3
1 Congo DR 18
2 Benin 8
3 Zimbabwe 7
4 Chad 1
1 Morocco 18
2 Botswana 9
3 Sierra Leone 4
4 Uganda 4
1 Senegal 18
2 Congo 10
3 Angola 4
4 Rwanda 2
1 Burkina Faso 11
2 Madagascar 10
3 Liberia 9
4 Namibia 2
1 Tunisia 18
2 Mauritania 12
3 Togo 3
4 Comoros 3
1 Mali 15
2 Mozambique 10
3 South Africa 10
4 Tanzania 0
1 Japan 22
2 India 19
3 Jordan 12
4 Oman 10
5 Cambodia 10
6 Maldives 8
1 Saudi Arabia 26
2 Syria 20
3 Palestine 17
4 Korea DPR 12
5 Singapore 8
6 Kuwait 3
1 Iraq 25
2 Korea Rep. 16
3 Bahrain 15
4 Indonesia 13
5 Philippines 9
6 Hong Kong 8
1 Iran 28
2 Uzbekistan 19
3 Lebanon 14
4 Turkmenistan 12
5 Nepal 7
6 Myanmar 7
1 Australia 27
2 Thailand 16
3 UAE 16
4 Kyrgyz Republic 14
5 Yemen 10
6 Brunei 4
1 Qatar 27
2 China PR 24
3 Vietnam 14
4 Chinese Taipei 10
5 Bangladesh 8
6 Tajikistan 4
OFC Final
New Zealand def. Fiji
Intercontinental Playoffs
Mexico def. Paraguay
Ghana def. Fiji
UAE def. Mexico
Sweden def. Ghana