64-Team World Cup Simulator
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1877
Belgium 1828
Argentina 1807
France 1807
England 1777
Spain 1708
Portugal 1704
Netherlands 1689
Switzerland 1673
Denmark 1661
Mexico 1631
USA 1623
Colombia 1617
Croatia 1615
Germany 1610
Sweden 1590
Pot 2 & ranking points
Peru 1585
Czech Republic 1578
Chile 1560
Morocco 1553
Serbia 1546
Tunisia 1543
Uruguay 1543
Iran 1542
Japan 1542
Algeria 1540
Ukraine 1538
Senegal 1537
Poland 1529
Australia 1511
Korea Rep. 1510
Scotland 1504
Pot 3 & ranking points
Turkey 1501
Austria 1499
Norway 1489
Saudi Arabia 1483
Russia 1478
Northern Ireland 1476
Nigeria 1474
Cameroon 1472
Qatar 1460
Egypt 1459
Jamaica 1450
Ghana 1448
Côte d'Ivoire 1446
Iceland 1435
Venezuela 1424
Panama 1424
Pot 4 & ranking points
Ecuador 1414
Burkina Faso 1404
Congo DR 1395
China PR 1387
El Salvador 1370
Honduras 1360
Guinea 1359
UAE 1357
Iraq 1357
Oman 1342
Curaçao 1324
India 1251
Namibia 1202
Guatemala 1200
Philippines 1165
Papua New Guinea 1061
Group 1
1Croatia 7
4Ecuador 4
2Poland 4
3Cameroon 1
Avg. Ranking 1507
Group 2
1Sweden 7
2Senegal 4
4El Salvador 4
3Northern Ireland 1
Avg. Ranking 1493
Group 3
2Australia 6
3Russia 6
1Germany 6
4Papua New Guinea 0
Avg. Ranking 1415
Group 4
2Uruguay 9
1Mexico 6
3Nigeria 3
4Philippines 0
Avg. Ranking 1453
Group 5
1Argentina 9
3Turkey 4
4UAE 3
2Scotland 1
Avg. Ranking 1542
Group 6
1USA 9
2Serbia 6
3Venezuela 3
4Namibia 0
Avg. Ranking 1449
Group 7
4Honduras 6
1Portugal 4
3Norway 4
2Iran 3
Avg. Ranking 1524
Group 8
2Czech Republic 7
1Colombia 6
4Iraq 4
3Egypt 0
Avg. Ranking 1503
Group 9
2Ukraine 9
1England 6
3Panama 3
4Guinea 0
Avg. Ranking 1524
Group 10
3Côte d'Ivoire 7
2Peru 6
1France 3
4China PR 1
Avg. Ranking 1556
Group 11
1Spain 7
2Chile 7
4India 3
3Ghana 0
Avg. Ranking 1492
Group 12
1Belgium 7
2Korea Rep. 5
3Iceland 4
4Congo DR 0
Avg. Ranking 1542
Group 13
3Jamaica 7
1Brazil 6
2Tunisia 3
4Oman 1
Avg. Ranking 1553
Group 14
3Saudi Arabia 6
2Algeria 5
4Guatemala 4
1Netherlands 1
Avg. Ranking 1478
Group 15
1Denmark 9
2Morocco 6
4Curaçao 1
3Qatar 1
Avg. Ranking 1500
Group 16
1Switzerland 7
3Austria 5
2Japan 3
4Burkina Faso 1
Avg. Ranking 1530
Pot 1 & ranking points
Brazil 1864
Belgium 1830
Argentina 1823
England 1769
Spain 1715
Portugal 1688
Switzerland 1685
Denmark 1684
Pot 2 & ranking points
USA 1646
Croatia 1629
Mexico 1629
Colombia 1619
Sweden 1606
Czech Republic 1596
Peru 1595
Chile 1579
Pot 3 & ranking points
Ukraine 1573
Uruguay 1573
Morocco 1561
Serbia 1550
Algeria 1547
Senegal 1534
Korea Rep. 1525
Australia 1516
Pot 4 & ranking points
Austria 1514
Turkey 1504
Saudi Arabia 1496
Russia 1487
Jamaica 1483
Côte d'Ivoire 1480
Ecuador 1423
Honduras 1386
Group 1
3Algeria 6
1England 6
4Saudi Arabia 3
2Peru 3
Avg. Ranking 1602
Group 2
1Argentina 7
3Korea Rep. 5
4Turkey 2
2Croatia 1
Avg. Ranking 1620
Group 3
2Chile 7
4Honduras 6
3Ukraine 2
1Portugal 1
Avg. Ranking 1556
Group 4
3Uruguay 9
4Austria 6
1Denmark 3
2USA 0
Avg. Ranking 1604
Group 5
2Sweden 7
3Morocco 6
1Spain 3
4Ecuador 1
Avg. Ranking 1576
Group 6
2Czech Republic 6
3Australia 5
1Belgium 4
4Jamaica 1
Avg. Ranking 1606
Group 7
1Brazil 6
4Russia 4
3Senegal 4
2Mexico 3
Avg. Ranking 1628
Group 8
2Colombia 7
1Switzerland 7
3Serbia 3
4Côte d'Ivoire 0
Avg. Ranking 1583
Algeria def. Korea Rep.
Austria def. Chile
Australia def. Sweden
Brazil def. Switzerland
England def. Argentina
Uruguay def. Honduras
Czech Republic def. Morocco
Colombia def. Russia
Algeria def. Austria
Brazil def. Australia
England def. Uruguay
Czech Republic def. Colombia
Brazil def. Algeria
England def. Czech Republic
Brazil def. England
This simulates a potential 64-team World Cup, which I developed because the 2026 World Cup format is so terrible. It assumes the World Cup could be expanded by having a winter-summer competition with the first competition being a round of 64 where the top two teams in each group advance to the second round. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and can change between the seeding of the first and second rounds. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is impossible (most common 17+ UEFA teams qualify for round two), in which case it will ignore continental restrictions (only really a problem for the second round.)

The first round features the following number of teams: 12 CAF (Africa), 12 AFC (Asia), 8 CONCACAF (North America), 7 CONMEBOL (South America), 1 OFC (Oceania), 22 UEFA (Europe), and two play-off winners. Qualifying rounds were designed to evenly distribute teams into group stages which look as similar as possible to the current setup - the biggest place this varies is in North America. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent.

The preliminary round features the highest ranked unqualified team in each continental region, except for South America (8th placed) and Oceania (runner up). These matches are then drawn randomly with two teams receiving a bye.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 England 22
2 Russia 11
3 Bulgaria 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 7
5 Azerbaijan 6
1 Netherlands 22
2 Norway 17
3 Wales 13
4 Israel 6
5 Gibraltar 0
1 Portugal 24
2 Austria 12
3 Montenegro 9
4 Slovenia 5
5 Lithuania 5
1 Denmark 19
2 Turkey 17
3 Finland 13
4 Armenia 4
5 Latvia 4
1 Scotland 17
2 Iceland 17
3 Italy 11
4 Georgia 10
5 Faroe Islands 1
1 Switzerland 22
2 Ukraine 16
3 Rep. of Ireland 10
4 Cyprus 7
5 Liechtenstein 2
1 Northern Ireland 21
2 Croatia 17
3 Hungary 14
4 Kosovo 6
5 Moldova 0
1 France 22
2 Serbia 15
3 Romania 14
4 North Macedonia 7
5 San Marino 0
1 Belgium 21
2 Poland 15
3 Belarus 12
4 Albania 12
5 Malta 0
1 Spain 19
2 Sweden 16
3 Kazakhstan 10
4 Greece 7
5 Estonia 6
1 Czech Republic 24
2 Germany 12
3 Luxembourg 11
4 Slovakia 10
5 Andorra 0
1 Papua New Guinea 12
2 Vanuatu 7
3 New Caledonia 4
4 Samoa 2
5 Solomon Islands 2
1 Tahiti 8
2 American Samoa 6
3 New Zealand 6
4 Tonga 3
5 Fiji 2
1 Brazil 48
2 Argentina 44
3 Peru 31
4 Colombia 31
5 Chile 27
6 Uruguay 21
7 Venezuela 20
8 Ecuador 13
9 Bolivia 12
10 Paraguay 10
1 Honduras 32
2 Curaçao 31
3 Costa Rica 30
4 Dominican Republic 21
5 St. Lucia 21
6 Belize 19
7 Suriname 6
8 Aruba 4
1 Mexico 36
2 Jamaica 35
3 Haiti 27
4 Bermuda 18
5 St. Kitts and Nevis 18
6 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 13
7 Dominica 7
8 Cayman Islands 7
1 El Salvador 32
2 Guatemala 30
3 Canada 30
4 Antigua & Barbuda 18
5 Barbados 17
6 Cuba 14
7 Guyana 12
8 US Virgin Isl. 3
1 Panama 35
2 USA 34
3 Trinidad & Tobago 22
4 Puerto Rico 21
5 Nicaragua 19
6 Montserrat 15
7 Grenada 12
8 Bahamas 1
1 Egypt 13
2 South Africa 11
3 Comoros 7
4 Mozambique 3
1 Algeria 18
2 Gabon 10
3 Zimbabwe 6
4 South Sudan 1
1 Namibia 13
2 Mali 10
3 Congo 9
4 Mauritius 3
1 Morocco 18
2 Equatorial Guinea 10
3 Mauritania 7
4 Burundi 0
1 Cameroon 18
2 Kenya 9
3 Niger 5
4 Lesotho 2
1 Senegal 12
2 Central African Republic 11
3 Rwanda 5
4 Guinea-Bissau 5
1 Nigeria 13
2 Sierra Leone 11
3 Madagascar 8
4 Liberia 1
1 Côte d'Ivoire 16
2 Cabo Verde 9
3 Eswatini 5
4 Togo 4
1 Burkina Faso 13
2 Libya 7
3 Uganda 7
4 Botswana 3
1 Tunisia 18
2 Zambia 12
3 Ethiopia 6
4 Sudan 0
1 Guinea 18
2 Ghana 12
3 Malawi 2
4 Tanzania 2
1 Congo DR 15
2 Benin 12
3 Angola 7
4 Gambia 1
1 Qatar 25
2 Philippines 16
3 Singapore 13
4 Hong Kong 10
5 Uzbekistan 9
6 Vietnam 9
1 Saudi Arabia 28
2 UAE 21
3 Jordan 15
4 Kuwait 11
5 Pakistan 6
6 Tajikistan 6
1 Korea Rep. 23
2 Iraq 22
3 Korea DPR 15
4 Cambodia 11
5 Afghanistan 8
6 Palestine 4
1 Iran 22
2 Oman 21
3 Thailand 20
4 Bahrain 13
5 Myanmar 7
6 Mongolia 1
1 Australia 26
2 India 23
3 Lebanon 13
4 Syria 8
5 Laos 7
6 Maldives 6
1 Japan 25
2 China PR 25
3 Malaysia 16
4 Turkmenistan 9
5 Kyrgyz Republic 6
6 Nepal 4
OFC Final
Papua New Guinea def. Tahiti
Intercontinental Playoffs
Ecuador def. Tahiti
Ghana def. Italy
Ecuador def. Canada
Ghana def. Jordan