2026 World Cup Qualifying Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points
USA 1683
Mexico 1646
Canada 1462
France 1904
Argentina 1890
Brazil 1834
England 1828
Belgium 1817
Croatia 1790
Portugal 1740
Uruguay 1722
Italy 1721
Pot 2 & ranking points
Netherlands 1701
Spain 1699
Morocco 1680
Colombia 1658
Iran 1645
Switzerland 1614
Denmark 1608
Japan 1607
Senegal 1591
Ukraine 1581
Panama 1555
Algeria 1531
Pot 3 & ranking points
Türkiye 1531
Korea Rep. 1515
Burkina Faso 1489
Cameroon 1477
Slovakia 1471
Costa Rica 1467
Iraq 1465
Slovenia 1460
Ecuador 1459
Côte d'Ivoire 1453
Qatar 1446
Paraguay 1446
Pot 4 & ranking points
South Africa 1444
Albania 1422
Congo DR 1409
Saudi Arabia 1395
Montenegro 1388
Oman 1369
Bahrain 1365
El Salvador 1365
Haiti 1350
Equatorial Guinea 1324
Comoros 1227
Vanuatu 1027
Argentina def.
El Salvador
USA def.
Japan
Ecuador def.
Albania
Denmark def.
Italy
Senegal def.
Cameroon
Mexico def.
Spain
Portugal def.
England
Brazil def.
Morocco
Netherlands def.
Türkiye
France def.
Panama
Canada def.
Slovakia
Iran def.
South Africa
Qatar def.
Uruguay
Colombia def.
Slovenia
Switzerland def.
Belgium
Croatia def.
Costa Rica
Argentina def.
USA
Denmark def.
Ecuador
Mexico def.
Senegal
Portugal def.
Brazil
France def.
Netherlands
Iran def.
Canada
Colombia def.
Qatar
Croatia def.
Switzerland
Argentina def.
Denmark
Mexico def.
Portugal
France def.
Iran
Croatia def.
Colombia
Mexico def.
Argentina
France def.
Croatia
France def.
Mexico
This simulates a 48-team World Cup. Last update: 1 December - updated African, South American, Asian fixtures to most recent results, along with all initial team ELOs
FIFA rankings were initially used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and change as a result of playing qualification rounds, and will be updated soon. Friendlies and national championships/interim games are not simulated. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is somehow impossible, in which case it will ignore continental restrictions.
Qualifying rounds are based on real life qualifying as announced. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent when necessary and is simulated correctly, but not shown.
The intercontinental playoff works correctly with the teams with byes seeded by ranking. UEFA playoffs have not been announced yet, it is assumed there will be four playoffs with byes going to the top four second placed teams, though it is possible there will be a Nations League qualifier and three groups of four teams for three spots.
To simualate ELO changes, 10 randomly scheduled friendlies and knockout rounds of all continental competitions before 2026 have been simulated in addition to qualifying (Qatar is placed in the CONCACAF cup, and CONCACAF teams are invited to the CONMEBOL tournament.)
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 France 152 Romania 93 Greece 74 Bulgaria 4
1 Netherlands 152 Türkiye 103 Northern Ireland 74 Latvia 3
1 Denmark 162 Montenegro 93 Scotland 84 Cyprus 0
1 Belgium 182 Hungary 73 Belarus 64 North Macedonia 4
1 Croatia 182 Kazakhstan 123 Wales 64 Georgia 0
1 Portugal 152 Kosovo 93 Norway 94 Rep. of Ireland 3
1 England 242 Austria 183 Bosnia & Herzegovina 84 Luxembourg 45 Moldova 2
1 Ukraine 192 Finland 133 Serbia 134 Armenia 85 San Marino 1
1 Czechia 182 Albania 183 Germany 184 Lithuania 45 Andorra 1
1 Italy 222 Sweden 143 Israel 114 Faroe Islands 75 Malta 3
1 Spain 152 Slovenia 153 Poland 134 Estonia 135 Liechtenstein 3
1 Switzerland 182 Slovakia 173 Azerbaijan 144 Iceland 75 Gibraltar 0
1 Fiji 72 Tahiti 73 New Zealand 74 New Caledonia 45 Tonga 3
1 Solomon Islands 92 Vanuatu 73 Samoa 64 Papua New Guinea 65 American Samoa 1
1 Argentina 482 Brazil 383 Uruguay 354 Colombia 335 Paraguay 206 Ecuador 207 Venezuela 198 Peru 179 Chile 1010 Bolivia 10
1 Curaçao 222 St. Lucia 103 St. Vincent & the Grenadines 94 Suriname 85 Bahamas 5
1 Panama 202 St. Kitts and Nevis 133 Dominican Republic 104 Aruba 65 Bermuda 4
1 Costa Rica 222 Puerto Rico 143 Dominica 104 Belize 85 Nicaragua 2
1 Haiti 212 Antigua & Barbuda 183 Jamaica 124 British Virgin Isl. 45 Grenada 4
1 Honduras 242 Cuba 143 Trinidad & Tobago 114 Barbados 75 Cayman Islands 1
1 El Salvador 202 Guatemala 183 Anguilla 64 Guyana 65 Montserrat 56 Mexico 07 USA 08 Canada 0
1 Comoros 252 Ghana 183 Mali 174 Central African Republic 145 Madagascar 106 Chad 1
1 Equatorial Guinea 252 Tunisia 213 Namibia 194 Malawi 145 Liberia 76 São Tomé & Príncipe 1
1 Algeria 272 Guinea 163 Mozambique 144 Botswana 135 Uganda 126 Somalia 6
1 Côte d'Ivoire 242 Gambia 153 Kenya 144 Burundi 145 Gabon 126 Seychelles 6
1 Morocco 242 Zambia 153 Tanzania 94 Niger 75 Congo 46 Eritrea 0
1 Cameroon 252 Cabo Verde 233 Angola 154 Libya 125 Eswatini 76 Mauritius 2
1 South Africa 272 Benin 143 Nigeria 134 Rwanda 125 Zimbabwe 126 Lesotho 4
1 Congo DR 222 Senegal 193 Mauritania 174 Togo 165 Sudan 106 South Sudan 1
1 Burkina Faso 232 Egypt 203 Sierra Leone 194 Ethiopia 115 Guinea-Bissau 96 Djibouti 3
1 Australia 152 Palestine 83 Lebanon 6
1 UAE 182 Bahrain 94 Nepal 3
1 Saudi Arabia 152 Tajikistan 133 Jordan 5
1 Iraq 162 Vietnam 83 Indonesia 64 Philippines 2
1 Iran 162 Uzbekistan 113 Hong Kong 34 Turkmenistan 2
1 Kyrgyz Republic 132 Oman 123 Malaysia 104 Chinese Taipei 0
1 China PR 152 Korea Rep. 133 Thailand 74 Singapore 0
1 Japan 182 Syria 103 Korea DPR 44 Myanmar 3
1 Qatar 152 India 133 Kuwait 64 Afghanistan 1
Qualifying Rounds
75 Panama 1876 Curaçao 977 Cuba 478 Antigua & Barbuda 4
1 Haiti 162 Honduras 83 Guatemala 54 St. Lucia 4
1 El Salvador 142 Costa Rica 133 St. Kitts and Nevis 54 Puerto Rico 1
1 Qatar 202 Japan 203 China PR 174 UAE 145 Palestine 56 Kyrgyz Republic 4
1 Iraq 232 Bahrain 193 Korea Rep. 184 India 115 Australia 106 Syria 2
1 Iran 252 Oman 163 Saudi Arabia 144 Tajikistan 105 Uzbekistan 106 Vietnam 10
Qualifying Rounds
164 Korea Rep. 10165 India 4166 China PR 2
1 Saudi Arabia 92 UAE 53 Tajikistan 2
UEFA Playoffs
Türkiye def.
Romania
Türkiye def.
Austria
Montenegro def.
Kazakhstan
Montenegro def.
Czechia
Finland def.
Kosovo
Slovakia def.
Finland
Hungary def.
Sweden
Slovenia def.
Hungary
CAF/AFC Playoffs
Senegal def.
Cabo Verde
Tunisia def.
Egypt
Senegal def.
Tunisia
UAE def.
India
OFC Final
Vanuatu def.
Solomon Islands
Intercontinental Playoffs
Curaçao def.
Solomon Islands
Venezuela def.
UAE
Costa Rica def.
Curaçao
Senegal def.
Venezuela
Continental Competition Winners
France def.
Croatia
Burkina Faso def.
Senegal
Panama def.
USA
Iran def.
Iraq
Uruguay def.
Argentina