2026 World Cup Qualifying Simulator
Pot 1 & ranking points

USA 1645

Mexico 1631

Canada 1506

Spain 1872

Argentina 1865

France 1862

Portugal 1800

England 1784

Belgium 1765

Netherlands 1754

Morocco 1747

Italy 1746
Pot 2 & ranking points

Croatia 1725

Brazil 1708

Uruguay 1705

Colombia 1703

Germany 1688

Iran 1676

Japan 1667

Senegal 1648

Switzerland 1634

Denmark 1622

Korea Rep. 1619

Austria 1571
Pot 3 & ranking points

Egypt 1568

Serbia 1557

Peru 1552

Australia 1549

Sweden 1540

Ecuador 1535

Cameroon 1527

Algeria 1526

Panama 1519

Poland 1518

Greece 1516

Costa Rica 1490
Pot 4 & ranking points

Tunisia 1486

Qatar 1483

South Africa 1465

Paraguay 1457

Jamaica 1440

Uzbekistan 1436

UAE 1416

Iraq 1415

Ghana 1358

China PR 1321

New Zealand 1281

Burundi 1161

Germany def.

Mexico

Brazil def.

Cameroon

Egypt def.

Paraguay

China PR def.

Panama

USA def.

Ghana

Poland def.

Colombia

Senegal def.

Netherlands

France def.

Iraq

Morocco def.

Belgium

Argentina def.

Sweden

Portugal def.

Algeria

England def.

Japan

Serbia def.

Greece

Canada def.

Korea Rep.

Croatia def.

Australia

Switzerland def.

Uruguay

Brazil def.

Germany

Egypt def.

China PR

USA def.

Poland

France def.

Senegal

Morocco def.

Argentina

England def.

Portugal

Serbia def.

Canada

Croatia def.

Switzerland

Egypt def.

Brazil

France def.

USA

England def.

Morocco

Serbia def.

Croatia

France def.

Egypt

England def.

Serbia

England def.

France
This simulates the 2026 48-team World Cup, from the current point of qualifying. Last update: 13 December 2024
Friendlies and interim games are generally not simulated. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is somehow impossible, in which case it will ignore continental restrictions. This can lead to some odd results, because the simulator doesn't know anything else other than team strength.
Qualifying rounds are based on real life qualifying as announced. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent when necessary and is simulated correctly, but not shown.
The intercontinental playoff works correctly with the teams with byes seeded by ranking. UEFA playoffs have not been announced yet, it is assumed there will be four playoffs with byes going to the top four second placed teams, though it is possible there will be a Nations League qualifier and three groups of four teams for three spots.
Sometimes a team will advance with the same points that looks lower in the standings - this is fine.
Simulate Again!
Qualifying Rounds
1 Croatia 242 Czechia 163 Montenegro 134 Faroe Islands 35 Gibraltar 3
1 England 192 Serbia 193 Albania 154 Latvia 35 Andorra 3
1 Belgium 242 Wales 133 North Macedonia 134 Kazakhstan 65 Liechtenstein 3
1 Germany 212 Norway 173 Israel 114 Estonia 65 Moldova 1
1 Austria 182 Romania 163 Cyprus 134 Bosnia & Herzegovina 105 San Marino 1
1 Spain 242 Poland 163 Finland 104 Malta 55 Lithuania 3
1 Portugal 182 Rep. of Ireland 83 Armenia 44 Hungary 4
1 Türkiye 112 Netherlands 113 Bulgaria 64 Georgia 6
1 France 132 Ukraine 113 Iceland 74 Azerbaijan 3
1 Denmark 132 Greece 113 Scotland 84 Belarus 1
1 Switzerland 162 Sweden 83 Slovenia 74 Kosovo 3
1 Italy 142 Slovakia 103 Northern Ireland 54 Luxembourg 4
1 Samoa 02 Tonga 03 Tahiti 04 American Samoa 05 New Caledonia 06 New Zealand 07 Vanuatu 08 Fiji 09 Solomon Islands 010 Papua New Guinea 0
1 Argentina 382 Uruguay 333 Colombia 314 Ecuador 275 Brazil 236 Peru 227 Paraguay 218 Venezuela 199 Bolivia 1910 Chile 15
1 Puerto Rico 102 El Salvador 103 Suriname 64 St Vincent & the Grenadines 35 Anguilla 0
1 Jamaica 122 Guatemala 93 Dominican Republic 64 Dominica 35 British Virgin Isl. 0
1 Panama 122 Nicaragua 93 Montserrat 34 Guyana 35 Belize 3
1 Curaçao 102 Haiti 103 Barbados 64 Aruba 15 St Lucia 1
1 Costa Rica 122 Trinidad & Tobago 73 St Kitts & Nevis 64 Grenada 45 Bahamas 0
1 Honduras 122 Cuba 73 Bermuda 44 Cayman Islands 35 Antigua & Barbuda 2
1 Ghana 252 Mali 203 Comoros 194 Madagascar 95 Central African Republic 76 Chad 4
1 Tunisia 282 Namibia 213 Equatorial Guinea 134 Malawi 125 Liberia 116 São Tomé & Príncipe 0
1 Algeria 252 Guinea 213 Mozambique 184 Uganda 135 Botswana 76 Somalia 4
1 Burundi 252 Gabon 213 Côte d'Ivoire 194 Kenya 175 Gambia 66 Seychelles 0
1 Morocco 212 Tanzania 133 Congo 94 Niger 85 Zambia 76 Eritrea 0
1 Cameroon 262 Cabo Verde 193 Angola 144 Libya 135 Mauritius 116 Eswatini 1
1 South Africa 252 Nigeria 183 Benin 174 Rwanda 125 Lesotho 66 Zimbabwe 5
1 Senegal 262 Sudan 203 Congo DR 184 Togo 95 Mauritania 46 South Sudan 3
1 Egypt 282 Guinea-Bissau 183 Sierra Leone 154 Burkina Faso 155 Djibouti 46 Ethiopia 3
1 Japan 252 China PR 163 Australia 144 Saudi Arabia 125 Indonesia 96 Bahrain 6
1 Korea Rep. 262 Oman 153 Jordan 154 Iraq 155 Palestine 76 Kuwait 4
1 Iran 262 Uzbekistan 203 UAE 174 Qatar 145 Kyrgyz Republic 66 Korea DPR 2
Qualifying Rounds
1 Costa Rica 152 Honduras 153 Guatemala 64 Cuba 0
1 Jamaica 142 El Salvador 103 Puerto Rico 74 Trinidad & Tobago 1
1 Panama 142 Curaçao 83 Nicaragua 44 Haiti 4
1 Qatar 72 UAE 73 Oman 2
1 Australia 82 Saudi Arabia 73 Jordan 1
UEFA Playoffs

Ukraine def.

Türkiye

Serbia def.

Ukraine

Greece def.

Slovakia

Greece def.

Norway

North Macedonia def.

Rep. of Ireland

Poland def.

North Macedonia

Sweden def.

Romania

Sweden def.

Czechia
CAF/AFC Playoffs

Sudan def.

Namibia

Guinea def.

Gabon

Sudan def.

Guinea

UAE def.

Saudi Arabia
OFC Final

New Zealand def.

New Caledonia
Intercontinental Playoffs

New Caledonia def.

Sudan

Honduras def.

El Salvador

UAE def.

New Caledonia

Paraguay def.

Honduras