World Cup 2022 Group Stage Draw Simulator
by John Holden - over 1,000,000 simulations to date - thank you for your visit |  EspaƱol | Hrvatski
64-team World Cup Simulator!
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Pot 1 & ranking points
Qatar 1442
Brazil 1832
Belgium 1827
France 1789
Argentina 1765
England 1761
Spain 1709
Portugal 1674
Pot 2 & ranking points
Mexico 1658
Netherlands 1658
Denmark 1653
Germany 1650
Uruguay 1635
Switzerland 1635
United States 1633
Croatia 1621
Pot 3 & ranking points
Senegal 1577
Iran 1564
Japan 1553
Morocco 1551
Serbia 1547
Poland 1544
Korea Rep. 1519
Tunisia 1501
Pot 4 & ranking points
Cameroon 1480
Canada 1479
Ecuador 1452
Saudi Arabia 1431
Ghana 1387
Ukraine 1559*
Costa Rica 1509*
Australia 1493*
Group A
Qatar
Uruguay
Poland
Canada
Avg. Ranking 1525
Group B
Argentina
Croatia
Senegal
Costa Rica*
Avg. Ranking 1618
Group C
Spain
Germany
Korea Rep.
Ghana
Avg. Ranking 1566
Group D
France
Netherlands
Iran
Ecuador
Avg. Ranking 1616
Group E
Brazil
Switzerland
Serbia
Cameroon
Avg. Ranking 1623
Group F
Belgium
Denmark
Tunisia
Saudi Arabia
Avg. Ranking 1603
Group G
England
United States
Japan
Ukraine*
Avg. Ranking 1627
Group H
Portugal
Mexico
Morocco
Australia*
Avg. Ranking 1594
Preliminary AFC:
Australia def. UAE
Intercontinental Playoffs
Australia def. Peru
Costa Rica def. New Zealand
This simulator displays what one 2022 World Cup draw might look like. It generates a new draw every time by simulating every remaining qualifying game (including updating the FIFA ranking for each team) and selected friendlies, sorts the teams into pots by FIFA ranking, and then creates a FIFA-compliant group draw. All known games are simulated and the FIFA rankings adjusted. Teams who will not be known at the time of the draw are marked with an asterisk (*). Play-off winners cannot be drawn into the same group as their opponent's confederation. Also note: this simulates what is possible, so while your sim may be highly unlikely (a team with <1% chance qualifying or a >99% not qualifying), it is not impossible; the sim does not like New Zealand due to their low ranking; and at the moment, groups will make sure the draw works properly (European team in each group) but do not appear to require a European team (to simplify coding, there is one scenario where a non-compliant draw may exist.) Last update: 29 March 2022 (after CONCACAF)
Simulate again!
My 2022 World Cup Simulated Draw:
A:
B:
C:
D:
E:
F:
G:
H:
Try for yourself http://stattosoftware.com/wc2022